Cedevita Olimpija vs. FMP
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Cedevita Olimpija vs. FMP
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 31 at 12:00PM ET: If the Cedevita Olimpija win, the market will resolve to "Cedevita Olimpija". If the FMP win, the market will resolve to "FMP". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This entry covers one Polymarket event, "Cedevita Olimpija vs. FMP," which describes an ABA League game. The rules state that "If the Cedevita Olimpija win, the market will resolve to "Cedevita Olimpija"" and "If the FMP win, the market will resolve to "FMP"" [1]. The result is "determined based on the final score including any overtime periods" [1].
The contract also sets rules for disruption. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed," and "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50" [1]. The source describes the game as "scheduled for October 31 at 12:00PM ET" [1]. That is the scheduled game time from the contract text, not confirmation of a current schedule. The listed end time is "2026-11-07T16:00:00.000Z" [1]. That timestamp is when the market is listed to close, which is separate from the game date and from the actual resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z and retrieved at 2026-10-25T11:44:08.453Z [1]. Both outcomes were recorded at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market from this event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The provider's sample warning says that "All saved markets for these events are included," but it also states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For this entry, that means the two named outcomes are the only saved outcomes. It does not mean the field is complete.
Equal prices show only that the recorded snapshot priced the two outcomes the same. The source does not explain why, and no trader count or volume figure is supplied here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show any development after the snapshot, the current price, or whether the game is still scheduled for the stated time. It also does not show how the market will respond to postponement or cancellation beyond the written rules. Because no other platform's contract is included, this entry should not be compared with contracts on other platforms.
References
- Polymarket: Cedevita Olimpija vs. FMP. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This market concerns a single basketball game in the ABA League between Cedevita Olimpija and FMP. According to the contract rules, the game is scheduled for October 31 at 12:00 PM ET [1]. If Cedevita Olimpija wins, the market resolves to "Cedevita Olimpija". If FMP wins, it resolves to "FMP" [1]. The result is determined by the final score, including any overtime periods [1]. The rules also describe two non-standard cases. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed [1]. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The listed end time of the contract is November 7, 2026 at 16:00 UTC [1]. This is a contract closing time in the rules, not an announced date for the game or the result. The saved snapshot for this event lists two outcomes, each at a price of 0.5 [1]. A price in this snapshot reflects the figure recorded at that observation time. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability that either team will win.
Historical Context
The supplied background pages describe the two clubs in the past tense. One describes Cedevita as a men's professional basketball club based in Zagreb, Croatia, that was known as Cedevita Zagreb [2]. The other describes Olimpija as a men's professional basketball club based in Ljubljana, Slovenia [3]. These descriptions do not explain how the names in this market relate to each other, and they do not describe the history of meetings between these teams.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which team wins one scheduled ABA League game. Its rules define the winner by the final score, including overtime, so the outcome depends on the completed game rather than on a result announced in advance [1]. Because the rules specify how postponement and cancellation are handled, the contract's outcome can differ from a simple win or loss. A postponed game keeps the market open, while a game canceled with no make-up game resolves 50-50 [1]. Traders reading the market should use the contract rules as the authority on resolution, and treat any snapshot price as a point-in-time observation [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which result decides the market?
The market resolves to Cedevita Olimpija if that team wins and to FMP if FMP wins. The winner is determined by the final score, including any overtime periods [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed [1].
What happens if the game is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
Does the listed end time mean the game is on that date?
No. The listed end time is November 7, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, and the rules describe the game as scheduled for October 31 at 12:00 PM ET [1]. The end time is a contract field, not an announced event date.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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