GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10

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US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10

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$0.00

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?	Kalshi	100%
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3000?	Kalshi	100%
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4000?	Kalshi	99%
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3500?	Kalshi	99%
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5000?	Kalshi	50%
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5500?	Kalshi	49%
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 6000?	Kalshi	46%
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 6500?	Kalshi	18%
Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 7000?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

week ending July 10, 2026 If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 10, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Ex

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** week ending July 10, 2026

If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 10, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week” on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page at the time of observation. This market resolves based on that figure as checked by the Ex

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 10, 2026 is above 7000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 7000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 6500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 6000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10

Volume$0.00

Markets9

9 of 9

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KALSHI

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 10, 2026 is above 4500, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within

KALSHI

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3000?

If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 10, 2026 is above 3000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within

KALSHI

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4000?

If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 10, 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within

KALSHI

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3500?

If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 10, 2026 is above 3500, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within

KALSHI

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5000?

If the total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States figure displayed on FlightAware for week ending July 10, 2026 is above 5000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, the relevant value is the number shown in the field labeled “Total cancellations within

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Average Yes Price

63¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/6OMN9q" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10"></iframe>

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US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10

US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10

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Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10

Markets (9)

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3500?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3500?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5000?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 7/10

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4500?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 4000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3500?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 3500?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5000?

Will total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for week ending July 10, 2026 be above 5000?

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