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GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress?

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$0.00

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Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress?

Vol

$0.00

Events

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Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

46 markets tracked

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

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Single-Platform Markets(46)

Market	Platform	Price
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)	Kalshi	16%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Renate Reinsve)	Kalshi	12%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandra Hüller)	Kalshi	11%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Virginie Efira)	Kalshi	8%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Drucker)	Kalshi	7%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Adèle Exarchopoulos)	Kalshi	6%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Tie)	Kalshi	6%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Yumi Narita)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Yana Radeva)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Victoire Du Bois)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Victoria Luengo)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Varvara Shmykova)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Taylor Russell)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Tao Okamoto)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Takako Matsu)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Shizuka Ishibashi)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sara Giraudeau)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandrine Blancke)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Rebecca Hall)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Penélope Cruz)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Natalia de Molina)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Monica Bellucci)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Milena Smit)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Melina Matthews)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Mélanie Thierry)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Marina Foïs)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Marie Bunel)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Margot Maricot)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Marie-Christine Barrault)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Lola Dueñas)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Lisa Loven Kongsli)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Lilith Grasmug)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Joanna Kulig)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Jella Haase)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Isabelle Huppert)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? ( Iris Lebedeva)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (India Hair)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Hoyeon)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Haruka Ayase)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Hafsia Herzi)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? ( Glenn Close)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Ellen Dorrit Petersen)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Catherine Deneuve)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Anna Madeley)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Alicia Vikander)	Kalshi	3%
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Aitana Sánchez-Gijón)	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

16%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If X wins the Best performance by an actress at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X wins the Best performance by an actress at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yumi Narita wins the Best performance by an actress at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Yumi Narita)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Yana Radeva)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Virginie Efira)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Victoire Du Bois)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Victoria Luengo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Varvara Shmykova)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Tie)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Taylor Russell)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Tao Okamoto)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Takako Matsu)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Shizuka Ishibashi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sara Giraudeau)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandra Hüller)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandrine Blancke)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Renate Reinsve)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Rebecca Hall)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Penélope Cruz)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Natalia de Molina)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Monica Bellucci)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Milena Smit)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Melina Matthews)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Mélanie Thierry)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Marina Foïs)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Marie Bunel)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Margot Maricot)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Marie-Christine Barrault)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Lola Dueñas)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Lisa Loven Kongsli)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Lilith Grasmug)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Drucker)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Joanna Kulig)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Jella Haase)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Isabelle Huppert)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? ( Iris Lebedeva)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (India Hair)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Hoyeon)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Haruka Ayase)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Hafsia Herzi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? ( Glenn Close)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Ellen Dorrit Petersen)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 42. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Catherine Deneuve)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 43. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Anna Madeley)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 44. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Alicia Vikander)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 45. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Aitana Sánchez-Gijón)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 46. Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Adèle Exarchopoulos)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress?

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KALSHI

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

If Léa Seydoux wins the Best performance by an actress at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Renate Reinsve)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Renate Reinsve)

If Renate Reinsve wins the Best performance by an actress at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandra Hüller)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandra Hüller)

If Sandra Hüller wins the Best performance by an actress at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Virginie Efira)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Virginie Efira)

If Virginie Efira wins the Best performance by an actress at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Drucker)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Drucker)

If Léa Drucker wins the Best performance by an actress at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

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Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress?

Markets (46)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Renate Reinsve)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Renate Reinsve)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandra Hüller)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandra Hüller)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Virginie Efira)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Virginie Efira)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Drucker)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Drucker)

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Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

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Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress?

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Seydoux)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Renate Reinsve)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Renate Reinsve)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandra Hüller)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Sandra Hüller)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Virginie Efira)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Virginie Efira)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Drucker)

Cannes Award for Best performance by an actress? (Léa Drucker)

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