Bournemouth vs Milan: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
Bournemouth vs Milan: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
BOU vs ACM (Oct 22) If Bournemouth wins by more than X goals in the Bournemouth vs Milan professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied rules describe a Kalshi event for the Bournemouth vs Milan Europa League match, which was "originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026" [1]. Each contract asks whether one side wins by more than a stated number of goals. The rules say the market resolves "to Yes" if Bournemouth wins by more than X goals "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. The four saved contracts use thresholds of 1.5 and 2.5 goals, one pair for each team. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own Yes and No prices, so they should be read individually rather than as one combined outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T21:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T01:38:22Z [1]. They describe that earlier moment, not current conditions. The Yes prices were 0.215 for Bournemouth by more than 1.5 goals, 0.125 for Milan by more than 1.5 goals, 0.085 for Bournemouth by more than 2.5 goals, and 0.055 for Milan by more than 2.5 goals. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They also do not show how many traders took each side, and the volume figures are not supplied here.
The market records list an end date of 2026-10-24T19:00:00.000Z, but the source excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The end date field therefore should not be treated as confirmed, and it differs from the scheduled match date of October 22. The rules also say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared," so the actual closing depends on the event outcome, not only on a listed time [1].
What remains uncertain
The sample includes all four saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks the sample as complete for that event [1]. However, the source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because the selection covers only this one provider event, no comparison with other platforms is possible from this evidence. The supplied material also does not explain why any price moved, and no recent news or match status is included. Readers should check the provider's current page before drawing any conclusion about present pricing or the eventual result.
References
- Kalshi: Bournemouth vs Milan: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia market is a Kalshi contract titled "Bournemouth vs Milan: Spread." It concerns a Europa League soccer game between Bournemouth and Milan that the provider lists as originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 [1]. The contract asks whether one side wins by more than a stated number of goals. The saved event includes four contracts: Bournemouth or Milan winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Bournemouth or Milan winning by more than 2.5 goals [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if Bournemouth wins by more than the stated number of goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded [1]. The provider also states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league [1]. The rules describe the Yes condition, and the saved excerpt does not spell out every No condition in full, so readers should check the full contract rules before relying on how a particular result would settle. The saved snapshot was observed on October 16, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, and the provider source was retrieved at the same time [1]. At that snapshot, the Yes prices were 0.215 for Bournemouth winning by more than 1.5 goals, 0.125 for Milan winning by more than 1.5 goals, 0.085 for Bournemouth winning by more than 2.5 goals, and 0.055 for Milan winning by more than 2.5 goals [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. Every saved market for this event is included in the sample, so the four contracts above are the full set saved for this event rather than a selection from a larger list. The contract's timing has several separate stages. The observation and retrieval times above describe when the saved data was captured. The contract closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved market data lists an end date of October 24, 2026 at 19:00 UTC, but that is a listed field in the saved data rather than a confirmed match date or an announced event schedule [1]. The actual resolution depends on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the winning margin for one side in a specific match. Each contract asks whether Bournemouth or Milan will win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals under the stated rules [1]. Because extra time and penalties are excluded, the relevant result is the score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. That makes the contract sensitive to the regulation-time score rather than to who advances in a knockout tie. Traders and readers can use the saved prices to see how the market rated each margin at the time of the snapshot, but the prices reflect that snapshot only and do not show what a trade would cost now [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Bournemouth contract require to resolve Yes?
The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if Bournemouth wins by more than the stated number of goals in the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not included [1].
Do extra time and penalty shootouts count toward the result?
No. The rules specifically exclude extra time and penalties, so the result is based on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1].
Is the listed end date the date the match will be played?
Not necessarily. The saved market data lists an end date of October 24, 2026 at 19:00 UTC, while the contract rules say the market closes and expires after a winner is declared and describe the match as originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 [1].
Do the saved prices show the chance that each outcome will happen?
The saved prices are snapshots taken on October 16, 2026 and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. They show what the market recorded at that time, not a confirmed likelihood of any result.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
