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Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

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Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

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25 markets tracked

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	40%
Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	19%
Will J. Cole be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	17%
Will Chappell Roan be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	17%
Will Olivia Rodrigo be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	16%
Will Lil Yachty be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	15%
Will SZA be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will Billie Eilish be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will André 3000 be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	13%
Will Lauryn Hill be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	12%
Will Frank Ocean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	12%
Will Doja Cat be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	12%
Will Bruce Springsteen be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will John Mayer be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will Elton John be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will Bad Bunny be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will Sabrina Carpenter be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	10%
Will Tyler, The Creator be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	9%
Will Ice Spice be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	8%
Will Rihanna be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Kendrick Lamar be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Drake be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Taylor Swift be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Playboi Carti be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Travis Scott be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Before 2027 If X is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Travis Scott performs a Tiny Desk Concert and John Mayer appears playing an instrument during the same performance, both Travis Scott and John Mayer resolve Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occur

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If X is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Travis Scott performs a Tiny Desk Concert and John Mayer appears playing an instrument during the same performance, both Travis Scott and John Mayer resolve Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occur

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Olivia Dean is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Travis"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tyler, The Creator be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Travis Scott be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Taylor Swift be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will SZA be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sabrina Carpenter be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Rihanna be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Playboi Carti be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Olivia Rodrigo be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Lil Yachty be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Lauryn Hill be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Kendrick Lamar be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will John Mayer be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will J. Cole be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Ice Spice be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Frank Ocean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Elton John be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Drake be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Doja Cat be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Chappell Roan be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Bruce Springsteen be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Billie Eilish be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Bad Bunny be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will André 3000 be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

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KALSHI

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

If Olivia Dean is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Travis

KALSHI

Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

If Paul McCartney is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Tra

KALSHI

Will J. Cole be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will J. Cole be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

If J. Cole is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Travis Sco

KALSHI

Will Chappell Roan be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Chappell Roan be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

If Chappell Roan is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Trav

KALSHI

Will Olivia Rodrigo be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will Olivia Rodrigo be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

If Olivia Rodrigo is on Tiny Desk before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: An artist resolves Yes if they participate in an NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert in any performing capacity, including as a lead artist, featured artist, or instrumental performer; for example, if Tra

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/72JLYk" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?"></iframe>

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Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

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Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

Markets (25)

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will J. Cole be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will J. Cole be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Chappell Roan be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Chappell Roan be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Olivia Rodrigo be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Olivia Rodrigo be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

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Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will go on Tiny Desk this year?

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Olivia Dean be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Paul McCartney be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will J. Cole be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will J. Cole be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Chappell Roan be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Chappell Roan be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Olivia Rodrigo be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

Will Olivia Rodrigo be on NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert before 2027?

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