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Events
GroupKALSHI

Illinois House District 30 winner? (2028)

Illinois House District 30 winner? (2028)
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K 0 contracts

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Republican party at 50%.

Kalshi

  1. Republican party50%
  2. Democratic party50%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

House District 30 If X wins the 2028 general election for Illinois House District 30, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a designated media source declares the winner. Party affiliation is determined by the party label listed for the candidate on the official ballot, regardless of subsequent changes. X candidate listed with more than one party's label is affiliated only with the first party listed, and a candidate listed with a state affiliate of a national party is affiliated with that national party. Independent and unaffiliated candidates, and write-in candidates not listed on the official ballot, are affiliated with no party. X candidate declared elected without a vote is affiliated with the party under which the candidate qualified. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 8th District margin of victory

Illinois's 8th District margin of victory

K 5.6K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 89%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 8th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 83%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory

Illinois's 4th District margin of victory

K 7.7K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 87.7%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 76%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 61%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 16th District margin of victory

Illinois's 16th District margin of victory

K 3.6K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 93.3%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 86.8%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 16th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory

Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory

K 3.4K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?Yes 91%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?Yes 80.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 13th District margin of victory

Illinois's 13th District margin of victory

K 1.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 13th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 93%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 13th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?Yes 92.3%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 13th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?Yes 86.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois's 15th District margin of victory

Illinois's 15th District margin of victory

K 1.4K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?Yes 91.6%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?Yes 81%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?Yes 71%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

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