ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied material covers one Polymarket contract, "ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP) for the title's time range is at or above the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the contract states that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T08:25:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers should compare the UTC listed end time with the ET wording rather than assume they are the same clock.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices are "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. The provider observation time was 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z, and the material was retrieved at 2026-10-27T11:03:03.759Z [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample is complete for this event. The coverage record shows one saved market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The material does not show trading volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people are trading.
Because only one platform and one contract appear, there is no cross-platform comparison here. A price difference between this contract and a similarly named contract elsewhere would not by itself indicate an opportunity, since their rules, data sources, and closing times may differ.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why both sides are priced at 0.5, and it does not show any news or events affecting the ZEC/USD price. It also does not show the price at the start of the window or the eventual TWAP, so the outcome is not known from this material.
The snapshot is dated to the observation time above. It does not show prices after that time, so readers should not treat it as a live reading. The contract's status is recorded as active at the time of the provider record [1], but the material does not confirm whether it has since changed.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a single short-term prediction contract on the price of ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar. The contract is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET" and is listed in the Crypto category on Polymarket [1]. It asks whether a specific five-minute window will end higher or lower than it began, so it is a question about direction over a short interval rather than about the asset's long-term value. The contract rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price used is the TWAP, not a single trade or a spot price on an exchange. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T08:25:00.000Z, which corresponds to the close of the 4:25AM ET window named in the title [1]. That end time is the scheduled close of the contract's measurement period. It is not a record of when the market was resolved, and the contract's status at the time of any later reading should be checked against a fresh observation. The provider describes the market's status as active in the supplied material [1]. The source for this entry is the Polymarket event record and its stated rules. The entry does not include independent reporting on ZCash, its network, or the factors that might influence its price during that window.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a five-minute window, from 4:20AM to 4:25AM ET on October 28, finishes at or above the value at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on the stated data stream rather than on any general market view, the rules define exactly which price feed determines the result. Readers should treat the contract as a narrow, rule-defined question about one data source and one short interval. Its prices reflect market activity on the contract itself and do not by themselves show how likely either outcome is.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the ZEC/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price data is used for resolution?
The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the measurement window close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T08:25:00.000Z, which matches the 4:25AM ET close in the contract title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.