Martynenko Oleh vs. Chyzh Pavlo
PM $0
1
5
Martynenko Oleh vs. Chyzh Pavlo
PM $0
1
5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Martynenko Oleh and Chyzh Pavlo in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 16 at 6:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martynenko Oleh' if Martynenko Oleh wins against Chyzh Pavlo. This market will resolve to 'Chyzh Pavlo' if Chyzh Pavlo wins against Martynenko Oleh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Polymarket event covers a table tennis match between Martynenko Oleh and Chyzh Pavlo in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, which the source describes as "scheduled for October 16 at 6:25AM ET" [1]. The match winner contract resolves to the named player who wins, but the rules define several other outcomes. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover also resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances because of retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-23T10:25:00.000Z [1]. That date is a closing time in the contract rules, not an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The prices come from an observation at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:21:50.739Z [1]. They describe that earlier moment only and are not live quotes. They are not executable prices, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample contains five markets from one provider event, and all five are included. Total games Over and Under 3.5 are priced at 0.505 and 0.495. Total games Over and Under 4.5 are also priced at 0.505 and 0.495. The match winner contract and both game handicap contracts are priced at 0.5 for each outcome. The handicap contracts differ only in which player carries the -1.5 line, so they should be read separately from the winner contract.
Because the markets use different lines and outcomes, the prices should not be averaged or compared as if they describe one shared question. The evidence includes no volume figures, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It also does not establish whether the match has been played, delayed, or resolved after the observation time. Since the source lists the match as scheduled for October 16 and the retrieval time is 2026-10-16T04:21:50.739Z, the reader should check current status separately.
The sample also does not show every possible outcome for this match. The source notes that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Any difference in price between contracts should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without current, executable quotes and a review of each contract's wording and close time.
References
- Polymarket: Martynenko Oleh vs. Chyzh Pavlo. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract covers a table tennis match between Martynenko Oleh and Chyzh Pavlo in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event, scheduled for October 16 at 6:25AM ET [1]. The primary market asks who wins the match. It resolves to 'Martynenko Oleh' if Martynenko Oleh wins, and to 'Chyzh Pavlo' if Chyzh Pavlo wins [1]. The source lists the contract's end time as 2026-10-23T10:25:00.000Z [1]. That is a date in the contract rules, not an announced event date. The match is scheduled for October 16, so the end time gives the contract room to settle after the scheduled play, including any delay the rules allow for [1]. The saved provider observation for this event is from 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:21:50.710Z [1]. Those figures describe when the records were captured. They do not show what the match status or prices are at any later time. The event carries five saved markets: total games over or under 3.5, total games over or under 4.5, the match winner, and two game handicap markets, one for each player at minus 1.5 and plus 1.5 games [1]. All five saved markets are included in this sample.
Why It Matters
The primary contract measures which named player wins the scheduled match [1]. The related markets measure the number of games played or the game margin implied by the handicap lines [1]. Each contract's rules determine how it settles, so the match winner, total games and handicap contracts should be read separately. The saved snapshot shows the match winner outcomes at 0.5 each, and the total games markets show Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 for both the 3.5 and 4.5 lines [1]. These values are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not indicate how the market will move.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is canceled or not played?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves to 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires, defaults or is disqualified during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retired, defaulted or was disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What source is used to settle the contract?
The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
