Balabei Serhii vs. Kryshtal Dmytro
PM $0
1
5
Balabei Serhii vs. Kryshtal Dmytro
PM $0
1
5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Balabei Serhii and Kryshtal Dmytro in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 16 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Balabei Serhii' if Balabei Serhii wins against Kryshtal Dmytro. This market will resolve to 'Kryshtal Dmytro' if Kryshtal Dmytro wins against Balabei Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers five Polymarket contracts for the table tennis match between Balabei Serhii and Kryshtal Dmytro in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The source describes the match as "scheduled for October 16 at 9:30AM ET" [1]. The contracts are two total games lines (Over/Under 3.5 and 4.5), one match winner market, and two game handicap markets. The two handicap markets list the players in reverse order, so they are separate contracts with different framing, not duplicates.
The rules define several outcomes beyond a normal win. The market resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is "delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined," and also for a walkover [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified after the match begins, the market resolves to the advancing player [1]. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with "a consensus of credible reporting" used only if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:14:31Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier snapshot, not live trading now.
In the snapshot, the Over and Under prices for both total games lines are 0.505 and 0.495. The match winner and both handicap contracts are priced at 0.50 for each listed side. These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The data does not include volume or liquidity measures, so it does not show how active any contract was.
Because the Over and Under prices within each total games line sum to 1.00, they are consistent with each other in this snapshot. The contracts should not be compared with each other as if they were the same question, because each uses different thresholds or player framing.
The source lists a provider end time of 2026-10-23T13:30:00.000Z for all five contracts [1]. This is a listed close time, not the match date or a confirmed result date.
What remains uncertain
All five saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. The sample warning still states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The data cannot show the outcome of the match, whether the match was played as scheduled, or whether the listed prices have changed since the observation time.
References
- Polymarket: Balabei Serhii vs. Kryshtal Dmytro. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns a table tennis match between Balabei Serhii and Kryshtal Dmytro in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The provider's event description says the match is scheduled for October 16 at 9:30AM ET [1]. That is a scheduled time recorded in the contract rules, and the supplied evidence does not report whether the match has been played. The main market resolves to the player who wins the match. The rules say it will resolve to 'Balabei Serhii' if Balabei Serhii wins, and to 'Kryshtal Dmytro' if Kryshtal Dmytro wins [1]. The rules also set out several special cases. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retired, defaulted, or was disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The saved provider event contains five related markets: two total games over/under contracts (3.5 and 4.5), a match winner contract, and two game handicap contracts for each player's handicap line. Each is listed with the same event end time. The dated snapshot and prices appear separately in the application.
Why It Matters
The contract tracks the outcome of one scheduled table tennis match, so its resolution depends on the match result and on how the rules treat cancellations, delays, walkovers, and early finishes [1]. Because the event is a single match, the outcome settles according to the winner or the special rules listed in the event description. The related total games and game handicap markets are tied to the same match, but the supplied rules excerpt describes the match winner resolution and special cases rather than the rules for each line. The listed end time of 2026-10-23T13:30:00.000Z is recorded as the contract's listed end time [1], which is separate from the scheduled match time.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start, also resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source decides the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
Does the listed end time mean the match takes place then?
No. The match is described as scheduled for October 16 at 9:30AM ET, while the listed end time of 2026-10-23T13:30:00.000Z is a date recorded in the contract [1]. The contract's listed end time is not an announced event date for the match.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
