Birmingham City FC vs. Swansea City AFC - First Team to Score
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Birmingham City FC vs. Swansea City AFC - First Team to Score
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Birmingham City FC at 48%.
Polymarket
- Birmingham City FC48%
- Swansea City AFC48%
- Neither48%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming match between Birmingham City FC and Swansea City AFC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Birmingham City FC" if Birmingham City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Swansea City AFC" if Swansea City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The snapshot covers three Polymarket contracts tied to one event, the Birmingham City FC vs. Swansea City AFC first-team-to-score market [1]. The first asks whether Birmingham City FC will be the first to score. The second asks the same for Swansea City AFC. The third asks whether neither team scores first. Each contract is scoped to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
The wording differs in ways that matter. A "Neither" result also covers a match canceled entirely with no make-up game, while a postponed match keeps the market open until it is completed [1]. If no acceptable data exists within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
The excerpt lists an end time of 2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z for all three contracts and describes the match as scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET [1]. That listed time is a close time in the contract rules, not a record that the match has been played or resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The observation time is 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z, and the retrieval time is 2026-10-25T17:06:47.990Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not current quotes and do not show what the market would pay today.
Birmingham City FC to score first is listed at Yes 0.485 and No 0.515. Swansea City AFC to score first is listed at Yes 0.485 and No 0.515. Neither team to score first is listed at Yes 0.48 and No 0.52 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The three Yes prices together do not sum to 1, so they should not be read as a complete split of likelihoods.
All three saved markets are included for this event, and the coverage record reports no partial sample [1]. The supplied evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it contains no information on trading volume, liquidity, or number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match result, any postponement, or any cancellation. It also does not establish that the three contracts cover every real-world outcome. The sample warning says the saved markets do not prove that the provider lists every possible outcome [1].
Because the snapshot is from a single provider and a single observation time, it cannot be compared with prices from other platforms without careful matching of contract wording and close times. Small differences in price are not evidence of an opportunity on their own.
References
- Polymarket: Birmingham City FC vs. Swansea City AFC - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event tied to the football match between Birmingham City FC and Swansea City AFC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET according to the event rules [1]. The event asks which team will be the first to score, and the rules define the question narrowly. A market resolves to Birmingham City FC or Swansea City AFC if that team is first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores in that window, the market resolves to "Neither" [1]. The saved event contains three related markets with the same end date: one for Birmingham City scoring first, one for Swansea City scoring first, and one for neither team scoring first [1]. Each market is a yes or no contract on its own question. The saved snapshot records their prices at one moment, and those prices are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The contract rules also set several boundaries. Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count, so extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1]. For resolution data, the primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the match ends, the rules allow Flashscore data, then Sofascore data, and finally a consensus of credible reporting if the earlier sources are unavailable [1]. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after resolution are not counted [1]. Swansea City appears in the supplied background sources only as a club with a long history. One Wikipedia page describes the 2025-26 season as "the 114th season in the history of Swansea City Association Football Club" and its "eighth consecutive season in the Championship" [2]. That page describes a past season and does not establish the club's current league position or the match outcome.
Historical Context
Supplied sources give limited history. A Wikipedia page on the 2013-14 season describes it as "Swansea City's 94th season in the English football league system, and their third consecutive season in the Premier League" [3]. A separate page on the 2025-26 season describes it as the club's 114th season and its eighth consecutive Championship season [2]. These pages offer background on the club's seasons only and do not bear on the November 2026 match result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which team, if either, scores first in the regulation portion of one scheduled match. Its three markets cover Birmingham City scoring first, Swansea City scoring first, and no goal in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. Because extra time and shoot-outs are excluded, the contract reflects only the opening match period defined in its rules [1]. The resolution hierarchy, including the 24-hour fallback to a 50-50 or Draw outcome where applicable, determines how the contract settles if official data is delayed or missing [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a first goal for this contract?
The market resolves to a team if that team is the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores in that window, it resolves to "Neither" [1].
Are extra time and penalty shoot-outs included?
No. The rules state that the market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and that extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1].
Which data source settles the market?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting [1].
What if no acceptable data is available?
If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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