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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Name: # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$115.19

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Vol

$115.19

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $115.19

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $115.19

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Poly	60%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Poly	38%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Poly	29%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Poly	23%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Poly	21%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Poly	14%
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?	Poly	3%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$115.19

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $115
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture