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Events
GroupKALSHI

Fearnley vs Carreno Busta

Fearnley vs Carreno Busta
Vol

K 699.02 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Jacob Fearnley at 61.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Jacob Fearnley61.5%
  2. Pablo Carreno Busta38.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 699.02 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Fearnley vs Carreno Busta (Oct 24) If X wins the Fearnley vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Fearnley vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta

PM $482.51
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaYes 49%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaView outcomes
Set 1 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaView outcomes
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Exact Match Score

Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Exact Match Score

K 0 contracts
Will Jacob Fearnley win the Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 32.5%
Will Pablo Carreno Busta win the Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta match by a set score of 2-1?Yes 22.5%
Will Pablo Carreno Busta win the Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta match by a set score of 2-0?Yes 22.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Set 1 Winner

Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Set 1 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Jacob Fearnley win set 1 in the Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta matchYes 58.5%
Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 1 in the Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta matchYes 41%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Set 2 Winner

Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Set 2 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Jacob Fearnley win set 2 in the Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta matchYes 49.5%
Will Pablo Carreno Busta win set 2 in the Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta matchYes 49.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
2027 Pro Football Champion

2027 Pro Football Champion

PM $69.05M · K 196.69M contracts

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 15.6%Rules differK Yes 16%

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will Buffalo win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 12.5%Rules differK Yes 11%

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Kalshi: Will Kansas City win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 11.5%Rules differK Yes 10.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

32 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
F1 Drivers Champion

F1 Drivers Champion

PM $204.61M · K 9.70M contracts

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 97.7%Rules differK Yes 97.5%

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will Max Verstappen win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 1.7%Rules differK Yes 3.5%

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Kalshi: Will Lando Norris win the F1 Drivers Championship?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes <0.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 6, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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