Fantasy Football: 2026-27 RB Points Leader
PM $33.9K
1
50
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 RB Points Leader
PM $33.9K
1
50
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Jahmyr Gibbs at 57.5%.
Polymarket
- Jahmyr Gibbs57.5%
- Kenneth Walker III21%
- Bijan Robinson11.5%
- Derrick Henry8.5%
- Jonathan Taylor4.2%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $33.9K
Reported volume · provider units
50
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to the running back who finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) as the highest-scoring running back under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. If two or more players are tied for the most total PPR fantasy points, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that has a higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks which running back will finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) as the highest-scoring running back under standard PPR scoring, using ESPN Fantasy Sports default scoring [1]. Each market in the sample is a separate Yes or No contract for one named player. Ties go first to the higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 regular season, then to the tied player whose last name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no leader can be determined in that window, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time, not a resolution. The source excerpt reports no resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and PredictPedia retrieved the record at 2026-10-19T09:07:36.158Z [1]. The prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In this sample, the Yes price for Jahmyr Gibbs was 0.76, Bijan Robinson was 0.11, and Kenneth Walker III was 0.107 [1]. The lowest included Yes prices were 0.0055, shown for Omarion Hampton and Chase Brown [1]. Each row is its own contract, so the prices should not be added together or read as a full distribution across the field.
Coverage is partial. This provider event has 50 total markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by Yes price descending, then volume, so the omitted markets are not shown here. Their absence does not indicate that they priced lower. No other provider event is combined with this one.
The excerpt does not report volume for these rows, and volume would not indicate liquidity or number of traders in any case.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and it does not show how many traders hold any view. It contains no recent news about the players or the season. Because 38 markets are omitted, the full field cannot be ranked from this record. Prices may change before the listed close, and this record does not establish how the season will finish. A difference between two contracts' prices is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Fantasy Football: 2026-27 RB Points Leader. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract is titled Fantasy Football: 2026-27 RB Points Leader. It asks which running back will finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) as the highest-scoring running back under standard PPR scoring, using the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports [1]. The contract is listed as active, and its listed end time is January 27, 2027 at 04:59 UTC. That date is the contract's closing time under its rules, not an announced event date, and the regular season has not been resolved as of the snapshot [1]. The contract resolves from official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports [1]. Its rules say that if two or more players are tied for the most total PPR points, the tie goes to the player with the higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 regular season. If the tie remains, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically is named the winner [1]. The market also covers cancellation. If the regular season is cancelled, is postponed past January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or a leader cannot be determined within that timeframe, the contract resolves to 'Other' [1]. The market snapshot was observed at 09:00 UTC on October 19, 2026, and retrieved a few minutes later. It shows a partial sample of 12 of 50 markets from this one provider event, so it does not represent the full set of running backs that could be listed. Within that sample, the highest Yes price was 0.76 for Jahmyr Gibbs, followed by 0.11 for Bijan Robinson and 0.107 for Kenneth Walker III. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they describe only the sampled markets at that time.
Historical Context
Derrick Henry's career record is one piece of background for the running back position. According to his Wikipedia entry, he is the only player to have rushed for at least 2,000 yards in a season at the high school, college, and professional levels, and he led the nation in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns at all three levels [2]. Super Bowl LX, played February 8, 2026, decided the champion of the 2025 NFL season, with the Seattle Seahawks defeating the New England Patriots 29 to 13 [3]. These sources are historical background only. They do not describe the 2026-27 season or its results.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which running back produces the most total PPR points in ESPN Fantasy Sports scoring across the 2026-27 regular season [1]. Because the outcome depends on a full season of official statistics, the contract's price reflects expectations about that future result at the time of each snapshot, not a settled fact. The tie-break and cancellation rules determine how edge cases resolve [1]. Readers should check the listed end time and the official resolution rules, since the contract's outcome is not known until the season's statistics are final [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What statistic decides the winner of this contract?
The contract resolves to the running back with the highest total PPR points in the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18), using the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports [1].
How are tied totals handled?
If two or more running backs tie for the most total PPR points, the tie goes to the player with the higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 regular season. If the tie still persists, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically wins [1].
What happens if the season is cancelled or a leader cannot be determined?
The contract resolves to 'Other' if the 2026-27 regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if a leader cannot be determined within that timeframe [1].
Does a market price show the probability that a player will win?
No. The displayed prices are snapshots from a specific observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they describe only the sampled markets at that time [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.