ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers the ZCash price move over a five-minute window, as stated in its title: "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The contract's listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:20:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers comparing it with other contracts should convert both times to a single zone before comparing windows.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T22:42:07.037Z [1]. The provider status was active when recorded [1]. These are past observation and retrieval times, not live quotes. The contract had not closed at the time of retrieval, and no resolution is recorded.
The snapshot shows one outcome for each side: Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are observed prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The equal values in this snapshot do not indicate what the price will be later, and they do not indicate how many traders hold either position. The saved volume figure is not included in the evidence, so no liquidity assessment is possible.
The sample covers one saved market from one provider event. It is marked as complete, with one market included out of one total, and it is not a partial sample [1]. The source notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome, but for this binary contract, the two outcomes shown are the Up and Down sides [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and it contains no news or market commentary. It also does not show how the Chainlink TWAP will compare with the starting price, since that data falls after the snapshot. No other platform's contract is included, so comparison with similar contracts elsewhere would require matching the time window and resolution source exactly.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term binary contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET." The contract is categorized as crypto and asks whether the price of ZCash will be higher or lower over a five-minute window. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source states that the market is about the price according to that TWAP Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD asset pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. This means that a move on another exchange or in a different spot market does not determine the outcome by itself. Traders reading the contract should check the Chainlink stream definition rather than a general ZCash price chart. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-11-01T12:20:00.000Z, and the provider status shown in the source is active [1]. The end time is the listed close for the contract and should be distinguished from the time the contract is actually resolved, which the source does not describe further. The source does not provide a settlement result, so this entry does not report how the contract ended.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the ZEC/USD price, as recorded by the Chainlink TWAP data stream, finishes the five-minute window at or above the level at which the window began [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price, the result reflects the average over the period instead of one moment. The rules name a specific data stream as the only price reference, so the contract's meaning depends on that stream's definition [1]. The listed prices of 0.5 for both Up and Down in the saved snapshot are only an observation from the provider at one point in time, not an executable quote or a verified probability of either outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this contract decide whether it resolves Up or Down?
It compares the TWAP of ZCash over the time range in the title with the price at the beginning of that range. If the TWAP is greater than or equal to the starting price, it resolves to Up. Otherwise, it resolves to Down [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is Chainlink information, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source says the market is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
What does TWAP mean in this contract?
The source describes the price as a time-weighted average price (TWAP) generated by Chainlink [1]. The excerpt does not explain the calculation in further detail.
When does the contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:20:00.000Z, and the provider status is active in the retrieved record [1]. The source does not state when the outcome was determined.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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