"Tom and Jerry" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
K 19.9K contracts
1
11
"Tom and Jerry" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
K 19.9K contracts
1
11
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Rank 75 to 100 at 50%.
Kalshi
- Rank 75 to 10050%
- Rank 41 to 5050%
- Rank 31 to 4050%
- Rank 21 to 3050%
- Rank 51 to 7421.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 19.9K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Tom and Jerry | Nov 7, 2026 If "Tom and Jerry" by John Mayer ranks between No. X and No. Y inclusive on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Kalshi event covers where "Tom and Jerry" by John Mayer will rank on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 7, 2026 [1]. Each contract covers a separate rank band. According to the excerpt, a band resolves to Yes if the song "ranks between No. X and No. Y inclusive" on that chart [1]. The excerpt also says the market "will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms" [1]. The event's listed end time is not supplied, but the market records show an end date of 2026-11-07T15:00:00.000Z. Because the contract closes early after chart publication, that timestamp should not be read as the exact moment trading stops. The evidence does not give a publication date for the chart.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-26T12:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 12:59:18Z [1]. These figures are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. All eleven saved markets for this event are included, so this sample is not partial.
Yes prices range from 0.005 for ranks 1 to 2 and 0.01 for several narrow bands, to 0.22 for ranks 51 to 74. The bands for ranks 21 to 30, 31 to 40, 41 to 50, and 75 to 100 are priced between 0.495 and 0.505. The excerpt does not explain these levels.
Because the bands cover different rank ranges, they are separate outcomes within one event. Their prices should not be summed, averaged, or compared as if they were one field. A difference in price between two bands is not an arbitrage opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers only this saved Kalshi event. It contains no other platforms, no volume figures, and no information about how many traders hold each position. The metadata also notes that the sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome. The excerpt does not report chart results, chart publication timing, or any news affecting the song's ranking, so the snapshot cannot show how these contracts will resolve.
References
- Kalshi: "Tom and Jerry" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026). Provider data observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a ranking market tied to a single song and a single Billboard Hot 100 chart date. The event asks where "Tom and Jerry" by John Mayer will appear on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 7, 2026 [1]. The contract resolves to Yes if the song ranks between two stated positions, inclusive, on that chart [1]. Each market in this group covers a different range of positions, so the question is which band the song lands in, not whether it charts at all. The event is hosted by Kalshi, which states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or otherwise officially connected with Billboard, and that Billboard trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners [1]. The chart is therefore the reference point named in the rules, but the market is run by a separate platform. The rules also describe timing. The market is expected to close and expire early after the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart is published, under the contract terms [1]. The chart date in the title is the date the contract refers to. It is not, by itself, a statement of when a chart will be published, and the source does not list an end time for the event [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, observable outcome: the song's position on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 7, 2026 [1]. Because the rules tie resolution to a named official chart, the outcome depends on that chart's published result rather than on news coverage or opinion. The separate ranges in this group split that single outcome into bands, so a trader's view of the song's chart position is expressed through whichever band they choose. Yes resolves only when the position falls inside the stated band, inclusive at both ends [1]. Prices shown for each band reflect the market at the time of the snapshot and are not guaranteed fills.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether a ranking contract resolves to Yes?
The contract resolves to Yes if "Tom and Jerry" by John Mayer ranks between the two stated numbers, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 7, 2026 [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with Billboard?
No. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Billboard, and that brand names belong to their owners [1].
When does the market close?
The rules say the market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms [1]. The source does not supply a listed end time.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
K 61.9K contracts"Housewife" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
K 44.1K contracts
#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
K 7.7K contracts
#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
K 1.8K contracts
Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
K 1.0K contracts"Shroom Clouds" by A$AP Rocky, reggie, and Jeremih · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Oct 31, 2026)
K 61.6K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
