ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract from the event "ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The rules specify the resolution source as the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and state that the contract concerns that feed "and not any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should not treat it as a general forecast of ZCash's price or as a comparison with prices on other exchanges. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T08:35:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close, not a confirmed resolution, and the rules do not describe any outcome as known.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T15:39:53.525Z [1]. It shows the outcome "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Since they are a snapshot, they may no longer match prices on the platform.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because the sample is complete for this saved event, it is the only market to compare here. No other outcome or contract is available to contrast with it. The equal prices shown here cannot be read as a signal of how traders lean, and the snapshot does not show trader counts or volume-based liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at these levels, and it contains no news or reporting about ZCash. It does not show how the TWAP will move during the window, and it does not establish whether the price at the start of the range will be above or below the average. The source states that the providers do not establish a complete list of possible real-world outcomes, but this is a binary contract, so that limitation does not change the comparison here [1].
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T15:00:05.977Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This Polymarket contract, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET," asks whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) will rise or fall over a five-minute window. It is listed in the Crypto category and is an active event on the platform [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the comparison uses the start-of-window price, the outcome depends on how the average over the window compares with the starting level, not on where the price ends the window. The resolution source is Chainlink. The contract specifies the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second averaging interval [1]. The contract also states that it concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. Traders therefore need to track that specific feed rather than a general ZCash price quoted elsewhere. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-27T08:35:00Z [1]. That timestamp marks when the contract's window closes under its listing; it is a contract rule and does not describe an announced event or a separate deadline. The saved snapshot shows the Up outcome at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 at the time it was observed [1]. These figures are price snapshots from a single observation. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price over one short window, as expressed through a specific Chainlink data feed. Its outcome is set by comparing the time-weighted average price during the window with the price at the window's start, and a tie at or above that level resolves Up [1]. Because the rule names a particular data stream and excludes other sources or spot markets, the contract tests the movement recorded in that feed rather than any broader view of ZCash's market [1]. The snapshot of equal 0.5 prices for Up and Down reflects one observation at a single time [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up?
The contract resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What data source is used to resolve the contract?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the contract states that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What happens if the average price equals the starting price?
The contract resolves Up when the average is greater than or equal to the starting price, so an exact match resolves Up rather than Down [1].
Do the listed prices show the likelihood of each outcome?
The saved snapshot lists Up and Down at 0.5 each at its observation time [1]. These are price snapshots rather than executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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