Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 28.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
70
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 15, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 15, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 15, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartContract price history
70 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(70)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
98.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
98.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
97.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
96.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
96.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
93.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
92.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
86.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
82.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
78.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
72.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
65.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
57.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
49.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
41.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
33.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
25.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
20.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
15.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
11.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
8.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
6.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
5.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
4.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
2.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
2.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
1.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
1.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
1.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7804.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
1.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
1.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7944.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7939.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7934.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7929.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7924.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7919.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7914.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7909.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7904.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7899.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7894.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7889.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7884.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7879.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7874.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7869.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7864.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7859.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7854.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7849.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7839.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7834.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7814.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7809.9999 on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.