Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T09:00:06.125Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract covers the Solana price window named in its title, "Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T15:25:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time, not the time its outcome was determined. The evidence does not show a resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These figures were observed at 2026-10-30T09:00:06.125Z, while the source was retrieved at 2026-10-30T11:31:33.227Z [1]. The observation is therefore an earlier snapshot, and the evidence does not show what the prices are now. The market was recorded as active at observation time [1].
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include order book depth, spreads, trade history, or trader counts, so it cannot show how liquid the market was or how many participants agreed with either side. The two prices sum to 1.000, but the sample alone does not explain why they are at these levels.
The sample includes one market from one provider event, with no partial sampling flagged [1]. Because no other platform or contract is in the evidence, no cross-platform comparison is possible. Differences in wording or close times between similar contracts would need to be checked against their own rules before comparing them.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the price of Solana at the start of the window, the TWAP value during the window, or any final resolution. It also does not explain any price movement between the observation and the retrieval. The sample warning states that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome [1]. Readers should check the contract rules and the Chainlink data stream directly before drawing conclusions about the outcome.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T09:00:06.125Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Solana, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET" and listed in the crypto category. The contract is offered on Polymarket [1]. Its outcomes are Up and Down, and the rules set out how each one is decided. The contract resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. If the average is below the starting price, it resolves to Down [1]. The title therefore defines both the window and the comparison point, and the outcome depends on an averaged price rather than the price at the final moment of the window. The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream, which the rules identify by name and location [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not the price reported by any other source or by spot markets [1]. Anyone reading a price on a different exchange or data feed should therefore not assume it determines this contract. The listed end time for the market is 15:25 UTC on October 30, 2026 [1]. This is the closing time written in the contract rules. It is not an announcement of a separate event, and the rules alone do not establish the actual resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average of the SOL/USD price over a set five-minute window, as reported by a specified Chainlink data stream, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the average is taken across the window, a short spike or dip near either end may affect the result differently than a comparison of two single prices would. The comparison point is set by the rules as the price at the beginning of the range, not by a separate reference price [1]. The listed price for each outcome is a snapshot of market pricing at a point in time. It reflects how participants were pricing the two outcomes when recorded, and it is not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract need to show to resolve Up?
It resolves Up if the TWAP of SOL/USD over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Does a price on another exchange or spot market decide this contract?
No. The rules say the market is about the price in the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, not any other sources or spot markets [1].
When is the contract's listed end time?
The listed end time is 15:25 UTC on October 30, 2026 [1]. This is the closing time in the contract rules, not a separate announced event.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.