BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The rules also specify the resolution source as the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore compare this contract against other BNB contracts only after checking whether they use the same data stream, averaging window, and comparison price.
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T10:15:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close, not an announced event or confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation was taken at 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T14:15:56.597Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation, not live trading conditions at the time of reading.
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495 [1]
These are snapshot prices for two outcomes of one binary contract. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The small gap between them reflects only what was recorded at that moment. The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers one event with one market. The coverage record marks it as complete for this saved event, with no partial sample [1]. That does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome for this kind of question.
No other platform or contract is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence. A different BNB contract with a different time window, data source, or close time should not be treated as equivalent merely because its price differs.
The evidence also does not show any price changes after the observation time, the status of the contract at the moment of reading beyond the saved "active" label, or the final outcome once the listed end time passes.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T12:00:05.938Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval crypto price contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET" on Polymarket. The contract asks whether the price of BNB during a specific 15-minute window will end up higher or lower than it was at the start of that window. Under the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract is tied to a specific data feed rather than to general market prices. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price shown in that Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair, and not prices from any other source or spot market [1]. A trader reading this contract therefore needs to understand the feed's method of calculating the average, not only the spot price of BNB shown elsewhere. The listed end time for this contract is 2026-10-28T10:15:00Z [1]. Because the title gives the window in Eastern Time, the listed end time corresponds to the close of the 6:00 AM to 6:15 AM ET window. The listed end time is a date in the contract rules and records when the contract is scheduled to close. It is not a report that the outcome has been determined, and the rules, as supplied, do not describe any resolution that has already occurred.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over a single 15-minute window, as reported by the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. Because the outcome compares an average over the window with the price at its start, the result can differ from a comparison of the start and end prices alone. The contract is useful for understanding how a short-interval directional question is defined, including which data source counts and which time range applies. Anyone reviewing the contract should read the full rules on the provider's page [1], since the rules define the exact resolution mechanics.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves to Up or Down?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price data is used to resolve the contract?
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that prices from other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title gives the window as October 28, 6:00 AM to 6:15 AM ET. The listed end time in the contract data is 2026-10-28T10:15:00Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.