ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract, titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET," resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The excerpt names the resolution source as the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream and states that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Because the rule compares an average over the window with the starting price, it does not ask where the price sits at the final moment.
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T21:55:00.000Z [1]. The title's clock times are in Eastern Time, so readers should check the UTC listing against the window they expect. A listed end time does not establish that resolution has occurred.
Reading the snapshot
The saved market lists two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. The provider status is recorded as active. The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-01T11:12:17.720Z [1]. These are snapshot prices from a single observation. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Equal prices mean only that this saved snapshot priced the two outcomes the same. The evidence does not explain why.
The sample covers one market in this event and is complete for the saved event: one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract appears, there is no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison in this record. The excerpt includes no volume data, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the ZEC/USD price during the window, the starting price, or any later TWAP reading, so this snapshot cannot establish the outcome. The excerpt does not describe news or price drivers, and it does not show whether the window has started or closed at the time you read this. The observation is about two hours before retrieval, and prices may have changed since then. Anyone comparing this contract with another should first match the window, the reference source, and the close time. Differences in wording or timing mean the contracts are not directly comparable, and a price difference alone does not indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET," listed in the crypto category. The contract is about the price of ZCash measured against U.S. dollars over a five-minute window on November 1, 2026. The listed end time is 21:55 UTC on that date [1]. How the contract resolves: the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The title's time range is therefore the measurement window, and the starting price is the reference point for comparison. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP [1]. The contract rules state that it concerns the price according to this Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader reading a price on a different exchange or data feed is therefore not reading the figure that determines the outcome. The source identifies the event as active at the time of retrieval and lists the end time above [1]. Those are facts about the listing record, not an announcement of any event. The current status shown elsewhere on this page reflects a separate check.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the ZEC/USD price, averaged over time through Chainlink's TWAP stream during the 4:50 PM to 4:55 PM ET window, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on a specific data stream and a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, the rules define exactly which number decides the result [1]. Readers should check the resolution source and window in the rules before interpreting any price shown for the contract.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price source is used?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP. The rules say other sources and spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
When does the measurement window end?
The listed end time in the source record is 2026-11-01T21:55:00.000Z, which corresponds to the close of the 4:50 PM to 4:55 PM ET window [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.