Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET" [1]. Its rules state that it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1].
The named resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules also say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price, another exchange, or a differently worded Hyperliquid contract should check that the reference source and time window match. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T03:50:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should confirm the conversion themselves. The supplied evidence does not state it.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T10:14:41.473Z [1]. These are two different times. Neither is the contract's closing time or its resolution.
At the observation time, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from a single saved market. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.000, but that does not show how deep the market is or how much trading occurred. The evidence contains no volume or trader figures.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. All saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. No other platform or event is included, so no cross-market comparison is possible. The small gap between the two prices does not, by itself, indicate which outcome is more likely, and the evidence does not explain why the prices were where they were.
What remains uncertain
The provider status was "active" at retrieval [1], but the evidence does not show whether that status or the prices have changed since. Prices after 09:00 UTC on October 26, 2026 are not in the supplied evidence. The evidence also contains no resolution result, so the outcome cannot be determined from it.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET." The contract asks whether the price of HYPE/USD, as measured by a time-weighted average price (TWAP) over a five-minute window, finishes at or above its starting level. The saved provider record lists the market as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-10-27T03:50:00Z, which matches the 11:50PM ET end stated in the title [1]. The rules define the outcome mechanically. The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The comparison is therefore between an average over the window and the opening price of the window, not between the price at the start and the price at the very end. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the rules state that only this Chainlink data stream counts, not other sources or spot markets [1]. Traders reading the contract should therefore look at that specific feed rather than at prices quoted on exchanges. The record distinguishes several times. The provider observation was taken at 2026-10-26T09:00:06Z, the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T10:14:41Z, and the listed end time is 2026-10-27T03:50:00Z [1]. The observation and retrieval times describe when this saved record was captured, not the present state of the market. The evidence does not show that the contract has closed or resolved, so no outcome should be assumed from the listed end time alone.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of HYPE/USD over one specific five-minute window, as recorded by one named data stream [1]. Because it compares a time-weighted average against the opening price of the window, it reflects how the average price during the window relates to where the window began, rather than a single trade at a single moment. Its rules restrict the resolution to the Chainlink TWAP stream and the stated time range, so the contract should be read on those terms and not as a general forecast of the Hyperliquid token or its price across longer periods [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" resolution require under the rules?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval. The rules say the market is about that Chainlink stream and not about any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The saved provider record gives a listed end time of 2026-10-27T03:50:00Z, which corresponds to the 11:50PM ET end in the title [1]. That is the scheduled close recorded in the rules, not confirmation that the market has resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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