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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Yards Leader

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Yards Leader
Vol

PM $24.5K

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Events

1

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Markets

24

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Matthew Stafford at 22.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Matthew Stafford22.5%
  2. Jared Goff18%
  3. Aaron Rodgers15.6%
  4. C.J. Stroud15.4%
  5. Patrick Mahomes14.8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $24.5K

Reported volume · provider units

24

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more completed passes during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per passing attempt during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

PredictPedia tracks a Polymarket event titled "Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Yards Leader." The event rules state that the market resolves in favor of the player who finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards [1]. Each market in the event asks whether one named quarterback will be that leader, with a Yes outcome and a No outcome. The rules set an order for ties. If players are tied on passing yards, the tie goes to the player with more completed passes during the 2026-27 regular season. If a tie still persists, the higher yards per passing attempt decides it. If a tie remains after that, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The rules also cover disruption. If the season ends early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome is determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the regular season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or leaves it unclear which player led the NFL in passing yards in that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. That January 26, 2026 date is a condition in the contract rules. It is not an announced event date, and the supplied evidence does not show that any postponement occurred. The provider lists an end time of January 27, 2026 at 04:59 UTC, which is earlier than the observation time recorded for this snapshot. The evidence does not explain that difference, and the provider status at observation is recorded as active [1]. The listed end time should be read as provider metadata, not as a confirmed closing or resolution event.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a single season outcome: which player finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards [1]. Its value depends on the stated tie-breakers and the fallback rules, which determine whether a result is decided by yards, completed passes, yards per attempt, or resolves to "Other" [1]. The resolution source is official NFL information, with a consensus of credible reporting allowed as a supplement [1]. The sample in this snapshot is partial. The saved event has 24 markets, and 12 are included. Those 12 were selected by highest finite Yes price, then by volume [1]. Because of that selection rule, the included markets are not the full field, and the omitted players should not be read as having lower prices. Among the included markets, Yes prices range from 0.0435 to 0.27 at the observation time. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and this article does not treat them as verified probabilities.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if two players are tied for the most passing yards?

The tie is first decided by the player with more completed passes during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If the tie still persists, the higher yards per passing attempt decides it. If a tie remains after that, the market resolves to "Other" [1].

What happens if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed, or shortened?

If the season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated, the outcome is determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear who led the NFL in passing yards in that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1].

Does the sample include every player in the event?

No. The saved event contains 24 markets, and this snapshot includes 12 of them. The included markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, then by volume, so the sample is not the full field [1].

What is the resolution source for this market?

The resolution source is official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

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Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiSports
Pro Football Passing Yards Leader

Pro Football Passing Yards Leader

K 345.0K contracts
Will Matthew Stafford lead Pro Football in Passing Yards for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 23%
Will Jared Goff lead Pro Football in Passing Yards for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 19.5%
Will Bryce Young lead Pro Football in Passing Yards for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?Yes 15%
+25 moreNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season

Pro Football: 4000+ Passing Yards Season

K 137.7K contracts
Will Trevor Lawrence record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 73.5%
Will Joe Burrow record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 70.5%
Will Dak Prescott record 4000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 66%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season

Pro Football: 4500+ Passing Yards Season

K 72.3K contracts
Will Joe Burrow record 4500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 53.5%
Will Baker Mayfield record 4500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 42.5%
Will Brock Purdy record 4500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 41.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 3000+ Passing Yards Season

Pro Football: 3000+ Passing Yards Season

K 50.7K contracts
Will Josh Allen record 3000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 94.5%
Will Jordan Love record 3000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 93%
Will Matthew Stafford record 3000+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 91.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Pro Football: 3500+ Passing Yards Season

Pro Football: 3500+ Passing Yards Season

K 48.4K contracts
Will Matthew Stafford record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 87%
Will Josh Allen record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 81.5%
Will Joe Burrow record 3500+ passing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?Yes 74.5%
+27 moreNext deadline Feb 2, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 7 Passing Yards Leader

Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 7 Passing Yards Leader

PM $0
Will Josh Allen finish Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?Yes 50%
Will Kyle Allen finish Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?Yes 50%
Will Malik Willis finish Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?Yes 50%
+61 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

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