North Dakota Senate District 6 winner? (2028)
K 0 contracts
1
2
North Dakota Senate District 6 winner? (2028)
K 0 contracts
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Republican party at 50%.
Kalshi
- Republican party50%
- Democratic party50%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Senate District 6 If X wins the 2028 general election for North Dakota Senate District 6, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a designated media source declares the winner. Party affiliation is determined by the party label listed for the candidate on the official ballot, regardless of subsequent changes. X candidate listed with more than one party's label is affiliated only with the first party listed, and a candidate listed with a state affiliate of a national party is affiliated with that national party. Independent and unaffiliated candidates, and write-in candidates not listed on the official ballot, are affiliated with no party. X candidate declared elected without a vote is affiliated with the party under which the candidate qualified. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event asks who will win the 2028 general election for North Dakota Senate District 6. Each market resolves to Yes only if the named party wins. For the Republican market, the contract states that "If X wins the 2028 general election for North Dakota Senate District 6, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The Democratic market is a separate contract with the same structure.
The rules set party affiliation by the label on the official ballot. A candidate listed with more than one party is "affiliated only with the first party listed." Independent, unaffiliated, and unlisted write-in candidates are "affiliated with no party." [1] These rules determine which candidates count toward each party, so a reader should check them before comparing the two prices.
The rules also allow "accelerated determination after a designated media source declares the winner," and say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs." [1] The listed end time for each market is 2029-11-07T15:00:00Z. The source excerpt separately reports "Listed end time: not supplied" for the event page, so the market-level date is the only close time in the evidence. It is a listed close time, not an announced resolution date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-01T01:03:22.236Z. [1] These are the times for this saved record. They do not show live prices now.
In the saved snapshot, the Republican market shows Yes at 0.5 and No at 0.5. The Democratic market also shows Yes at 0.5 and No at 0.5. [1] Because the two party markets are separate contracts, their equal prices should be read only as recorded values for those contracts. The snapshot does not explain them, and the two prices should not be added or averaged into a single estimate.
The coverage record lists two markets from one event, with two included and no partial sample. [1] This means the saved event contains only these two party contracts. The sample warning states that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome, so this record does not show the complete field. The snapshot also contains no volume, trader count, or liquidity figures.
What remains uncertain
These prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not show current prices, the reasons for the recorded levels, or any news affecting the race. The contract rules do not announce a resolution date, and the 2029 listed close time is not an expected election result. Comparing this contract with markets on other platforms requires matching the exact wording, affiliation rules, and close times, and even then a price difference alone is not an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: North Dakota Senate District 6 winner? (2028). Provider data observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Kalshi event titled "North Dakota Senate District 6 winner? (2028)." It asks about the outcome of the 2028 general election for North Dakota Senate District 6, which is a state legislative district. The contract rules state that if candidate X wins that election, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The event is structured around candidates rather than a single named person, so the saved provider rules refer to a placeholder candidate, "X," instead of a named individual. The saved event includes two separate markets. One asks whether the Republican Party will win the 2028 North Dakota Senate District 6 election, and the other asks whether the Democratic Party will win it [1]. Each market is a separate Yes or No contract under the same event. The provider lists both as active in the saved snapshot. The markets do not describe a race between named candidates, and the saved data does not identify any candidates in this district. The district election is part of a broader set of 2028 state Senate contests. Wikipedia describes the 2028 United States Senate elections as a separate federal contest, with 34 of the 100 U.S. Senate seats up for regular election on November 7, 2028 [2]. That source concerns federal Senate races and does not describe North Dakota's state legislative districts, so it is background on the election calendar rather than evidence about this district's race. For readers who want to understand the contract, the most important detail is how the party label is determined. The rules say party affiliation follows the party label listed for the candidate on the official ballot, and that later changes do not alter that label [1]. The rules also address candidates with more than one party label, independent and unaffiliated candidates, write-in candidates, and candidates declared elected without a vote [1]. These provisions determine whether the Republican or Democratic market resolves, so they matter as much as the outcome of the vote itself.
Historical Context
The supplied sources do not contain history specific to North Dakota Senate District 6, including previous election results or the district's background. The only historical detail available concerns the federal Senate cycle. Wikipedia states that Class 3 senators were last elected in 2022 and will be up for election again in 2028, and that senators serve staggered six-year terms [2]. That is a general description of the federal calendar and does not establish anything about the North Dakota state district that this contract covers.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specified party wins the 2028 general election for North Dakota Senate District 6. Under the rules, the market resolves to Yes if the party named in that market wins the seat, and the party is determined by the ballot label rules described above [1]. Because the two markets are separate, the contract is tied to the party outcome rather than to the identity of any particular candidate. The contract also includes an early-resolution provision. The rules state that the market is eligible for accelerated determination after a designated media source declares the winner, and that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. A saved listed end date of November 7, 2029 appears in the market data [1]. That date is taken from the contract's rules and data and is not an announced date for when the election result will be known or when the contract will settle. The provider does not supply a listed end time in the saved event excerpt [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract ask?
The contract asks whether a specified party will win the 2028 general election for North Dakota Senate District 6. If candidate X wins that election, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event includes separate markets for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party [1].
How is a candidate's party determined for resolution?
Party affiliation is determined by the party label listed for the candidate on the official ballot, and later changes do not alter it [1]. A candidate listed with more than one party's label is affiliated only with the first party listed, and a candidate listed with a state affiliate of a national party is affiliated with that national party [1]. Independent, unaffiliated, and unlisted write-in candidates are affiliated with no party, and a candidate declared elected without a vote is affiliated with the party under which the candidate qualified [1].
When could this market close early?
The rules say the market is eligible for accelerated determination after a designated media source declares the winner, and that it will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
When is the 2028 general election?
Wikipedia states that the 2028 United States Senate elections will be held on November 7, 2028 [2]. That source concerns federal Senate elections, and the supplied evidence does not separately confirm the North Dakota state district election date.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
North Carolina Senate District 6 winner? (2028)
K 0 contracts
North Dakota Senate District 2 winner? (2028)
K 0 contractsNorth Dakota Senate District 4 winner? (2028)
K 0 contractsNorth Dakota Senate District 8 winner? (2028)
K 0 contractsNorth Dakota Senate District 10 winner? (2028)
K 0 contractsNorth Dakota Senate District 12 winner? (2028)
K 0 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
