Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 45.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
40
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartContract price history
40 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the gold close price be above 4074 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(40)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the gold close price be above 4074 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4064 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4054 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4044 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4034 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4024 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4014 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4004 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3994 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3984 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3974 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3964 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3954 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 3944 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4084 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4094 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4104 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
96.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4114 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
93.0%
Will the gold close price be above 4124 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
85.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4134 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
76.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4144 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
52.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4154 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
33.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4164 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
18.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4174 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
8.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4184 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
4.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4194 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4334 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4324 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4314 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4304 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4294 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4284 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4274 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4264 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4254 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4244 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4234 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4224 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4214 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the gold close price be above 4204 USD/t.oz on October 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.