M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski
PM $175.08
1
3
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski
PM $175.08
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $175.08
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuele Pieri and Marcel Zielinski in the M25 Valencia, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Marcel Zielinski. This market will resolve to 'Marcel Zielinski' if Marcel Zielinski advances against Samuele Pieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-04T21:00:06.248Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This record covers one Polymarket market on the tennis match between Samuele Pieri and Marcel Zielinski in the M25 Valencia Main Draw [1]. The market resolves to "Samuele Pieri" if that player advances, and to "Marcel Zielinski" if that player advances [1]. The match was "originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET" [1].
The rules set a 50-50 outcome in several cases: cancellation, a tie, no determined winner by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a walkover [1]. If a player advances after the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is official ITF information, and "A consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-12T10:00:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time, not confirmation of when the match will be played or decided.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-11-04T21:00:06.248Z, and this record was retrieved at 2026-11-05T04:30:06.733Z [1]. Both times are earlier than the current UTC time for this explanation, so the prices describe those saved moments only. The market status was active when saved [1].
The saved prices were 0.505 for Samuele Pieri and 0.495 for Marcel Zielinski [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two outcomes sum to 1.00 in this record, so the gap between them is 0.010. The record contains no trading volume, order book depth, or trader count, so it says nothing about liquidity.
Coverage is complete for this event: one market was saved and included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The record does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome, and it does not show other platforms. No cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The record does not explain why the prices are where they are, and it contains no news about the players or the event. It provides no match result, no confirmation that play has begun or finished, and no information about whether a walkover, cancellation, or retirement has occurred. Whether the 50-50 rule would apply depends on events not present in this record.
References
- Polymarket: M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Marcel Zielinski. Provider data observed 2026-11-04T21:00:06.248Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 5, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract is a single-match market on a men's tennis match in the M25 Valencia main draw between Samuele Pieri and Marcel Zielinski. The provider describes the match as originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET [1]. The contract is binary in form: it resolves to the name of the player who advances from the match [1]. The listed end time for the market is November 12, 2026 at 10:00 UTC [1]. The contract includes several fallback rules. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which is 14 days after the scheduled start, the market resolves to a 50-50 split [1]. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The provider names the International Tennis Federation as the primary resolution source, using official information from that body. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The saved provider record lists the market as active at the time it was observed [1]. The evidence does not report the result of the match, so this article does not indicate who advanced or whether any fallback rule applied.
Historical Context
The supplied background is limited to a general description of the ITF Men's World Tennis Tour. It is organised by the International Tennis Federation, sits one tier below the ATP Challenger Tour, and includes tournaments with prize money from $15,000 to $25,000 [2]. That description comes from an article about the 2023 edition of the tour, so it describes the tour's structure in that period and does not describe this 2026 event or its draw.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of two named players advances from one scheduled match. Because the rules specify a winner-takes-all outcome with defined 50-50 fallbacks, the market's meaning depends on how the match is completed or abandoned [1]. Users reading the prices should note that a price is a snapshot of the market at one moment and is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-04 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who does this contract resolve to?
It resolves to the name of the player who advances from the match between Samuele Pieri and Marcel Zielinski [1].
When would the market resolve 50-50?
The rules name several cases: a canceled match, a tie, no determined winner by November 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and a walkover where one player withdraws before the start [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source determines the outcome?
The primary resolution source is official information from the International Tennis Federation. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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