GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Name: MLB: 2026 American League Champion
End: 2026-11-01T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.33M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Vol

$4.33M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.33M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.33M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	24%
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	20%
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	14%
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	12%
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	10%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	5%
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	4%
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	4%
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	2%
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	1%
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	1%
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	1%
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	0%
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	0%
Will Athletics win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

24%

Top Probability

$4.33M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timefra

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: 2026 American League Champion
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (57 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timefra

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.33M
* **Total Liquidity:** $929.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.66)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $67.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $59.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $58.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $406.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $154.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $253.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $742.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $124.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $856.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $253.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $784.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $327.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Athletics win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $176.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $41.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $27.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld