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Boston vs New York M: Spread

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Boston vs New York M: Spread

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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6 markets tracked

New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	39%
Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	33%
New York M wins by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	27%
Boston wins by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	24%
New York M wins by over 3.5 runs?	Kalshi	19%
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

39%

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$0.00

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About This Event

BOS vs NYM (Jul 10) If New York M wins by more than X runs in the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Boston vs New York M: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BOS vs NYM (Jul 10)

If New York M wins by more than X runs in the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If New York M wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. New York M wins by over 3.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. New York M wins by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Boston wins by over 3.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Boston wins by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Boston vs New York M: Spread

Volume$0.00

Markets6

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KALSHI

New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

If New York M wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

KALSHI

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

If Boston wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

KALSHI

New York M wins by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New York M wins by over 2.5 runs?

If New York M wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

KALSHI

Boston wins by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Boston wins by over 2.5 runs?

If Boston wins by more than 2.5 runs in the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

KALSHI

New York M wins by over 3.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New York M wins by over 3.5 runs?

If New York M wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Boston vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

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Boston vs New York M: Spread

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New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Boston vs New York M: Spread

Markets (6)

New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 2.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 2.5 runs?

Boston wins by over 2.5 runs?

Boston wins by over 2.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 3.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 3.5 runs?

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New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Boston vs New York M: Spread

New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 1.5 runs?

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 2.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 2.5 runs?

Boston wins by over 2.5 runs?

Boston wins by over 2.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 3.5 runs?

New York M wins by over 3.5 runs?

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