Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory

Reported volume

PM $236.13

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Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory

Vol

PM $236.13

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Opposition 5-6 seats at 32%.

Polymarket

Opposition 5-6 seats32%
Bibi 1-2 seats22%
Opposition 3-4 seats21%
Opposition 7+ seats19%
Bibi 5-6 seats17%

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9 markets tracked

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Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Poly	32.0%
Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?	Poly	22.0%
Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	Poly	21.0%
Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?	Poly	19.0%
Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Poly	17.0%
Will the Israeli election end in a bloc seat tie?	Poly	17.0%
Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?	Poly	17.0%
Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?	Poly	10.5%
Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?	Poly	9.5%

Rules & Resolution

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PM $236.13

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”). The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc. The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $236.13
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264891; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-7-or-more-seats-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $28
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Contract: Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264892; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-5-6-seats-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8
Outcome Yes: 17.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Contract: Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264893; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-3-4-seats-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Contract: Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264894; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-bibi-1-2-seats-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $53
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Contract: Will the Israeli election end in a bloc seat tie?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264895; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-tie-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8
Outcome Yes: 17.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Contract: Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264896; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-1-2-seats-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $44
Outcome Yes: 17.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Contract: Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264897; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-3-4-seats-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $28
Outcome Yes: 21.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 79.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Contract: Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264898; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-5-6-seats-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $51.13
Outcome Yes: 32.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 68.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Contract: Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6264899; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-bloc-seat-margin-of-victory-opposition-7-or-more-seats-20261021154359891
Observed: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin, in seats, between the combined number of seats won in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election by the Netanyahu bloc (“Bibi”) and by the opposition bloc (“Opposition”).

The Netanyahu bloc consists of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. The opposition bloc consists of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.

The margin is defined as the absolute difference between the two blocs’ combined seat totals. This market will resolve to the bracket for the bloc that wins more combined seats that contains this margin. If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to “Tie”.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consens

Saved cross-platform review:
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POLYMARKETPolitics

Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory

Volume$236.13

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

polymarket

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

Yes: 32.0¢
No: 68.0¢

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?

polymarket

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?

Yes: 22.0¢
No: 78.0¢

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

polymarket

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

Yes: 21.0¢
No: 79.0¢

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?

polymarket

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?

Yes: 19.0¢
No: 81.0¢

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

polymarket

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

Yes: 17.0¢
No: 83.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $71.6K · K 20.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NY-18?

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

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FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $42.6K · K 21.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for FL-23?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 95.4%Rules differK Yes 95.8%

Will the Republican Party win the FL-23 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-23?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 4%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for FL-23?

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $63.8K · K 20.1K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for NY-22?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 97.2%Rules differK Yes 96.4%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NY-22?

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Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Republican win the House race for NY-22?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 2.8%Rules differK Yes 3.1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $64.6K · K 15.4K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-9?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 97.3%Rules differK Yes 96.2%

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NJ-9?

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PM Yes 3.7%Rules differK Yes 3.1%

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for NJ-9?

Same question, fine print differs

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

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IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $50.0K · K 8.3K contracts

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?

Kalshi: Will a Democrat win the House race for IL-17?

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-17 House election?

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Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

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Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election?

Kalshi: Will Republican win the House race for MI-8?

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

3 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

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Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

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Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory

Markets (9)

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

Related prediction markets

NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory

FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory

NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory

NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory

IL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

MI-08 House Election Margin of Victory

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Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

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Israel Election: Bloc Seat Margin of Victory

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?

Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats?

Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?

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