BNB Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets do not count [1].
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-20T04:25:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time in the rules, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show a resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation was taken at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:56:59Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier moment, not live conditions at the time you read this.
At observation, the provider reported the following prices: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.000 in this sample. The slight lean toward "Up" is a 0.010 difference in the quoted prices. The evidence does not explain why prices were at these levels.
The coverage record shows one market, with all markets included and no partial sample [1]. Because this is a binary contract with both outcomes listed, no outcome is omitted from this sample. The sample describes only this saved provider event.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the current price, current status, or any final result. The provider status was "active" at the time of the saved record [1]. Trading volume is not included in this excerpt and would not indicate liquidity or the number of traders even if it were.
No other platform's contract is included here, so this snapshot should not be compared with differently worded contracts elsewhere. Different wording, time windows, or resolution sources can produce different results even when titles look similar. A price difference between contracts does not, by itself, establish an opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET" on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB over a five-minute window will end up higher or lower than where it started. The source states that the market "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1]. In other words, the comparison is between an averaged price across the window and the price at the window's opening, not a single price printed at the close. The resolution rules name a specific data feed. According to the source, the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source also says the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. This means that prices on other exchanges or spot venues do not decide the outcome, even if they move differently. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T04:25:00.000Z [1], which corresponds to the close of the 12:20AM to 12:25AM ET window named in the title. A listed end time describes when the contract closes under its rules. It is not a separate announced event, and the outcome is determined by the data feed under the rules above. At the observation time, the single outcome prices were 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down [1 is the source for the market record]. These figures are snapshots of the market at one moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the price moving in either direction.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over a five-minute window as defined by a Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the resolution compares the average price over the window with the starting price, a contract can resolve differently from a comparison of the opening and closing prices alone. The source's emphasis on the Chainlink feed also means that the rules, not general market impressions, determine the result [1]. For readers, the key points are the defined data source, the averaging method, and the comparison to the price at the start of the range.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
According to the source, the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of BNB over the specified time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Do prices on other exchanges affect the outcome?
The source says the market concerns the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for BNB/USD, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Other venues are therefore not the resolution reference under these rules.
What does the listed end time mean?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T04:25:00.000Z [1]. It marks the close of the window named in the contract title. It is a contract rule and does not describe any separate announcement or event.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.