HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona - First Team to Score
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HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona - First Team to Score
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming match between HB Køge and FC Barcelona, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HB Køge" if HB Køge are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied evidence covers one Polymarket event, "HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona - First Team to Score," with three contracts [1]. The event rules say the market "will resolve to "HB Køge" if HB Køge are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" [1]. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
The three contracts ask different questions: whether HB Køge scores first, whether FC Barcelona scores first, and whether "Neither team" scores first within that window [1]. Their wording differs, so they should be read as separate contracts, not as versions of one question.
The rules also cover edge cases. A postponed match keeps the market open until it is completed, and a match canceled with no make-up game resolves to "Neither" [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1]. The listed end time for all three contracts is 2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close time, not a confirmed result or resolution date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:39:18.472Z [1]. These are past readings and may not reflect current prices. Each of the three contracts shows a Yes price of 0.49 and a No price of 0.51 at observation time [1].
These figures are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Matching prices across differently worded contracts do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity. The evidence does not explain the prices, and the Yes prices should not be averaged into a single figure because they describe different outcomes. No volume figures were supplied, and volume would not establish liquidity or the number of traders anyway.
What remains uncertain
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, with no partial sampling noted [1]. The sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one platform appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
The evidence contains no match result, no information on whether the match has been postponed, and no post-snapshot price data. The contracts' terms set out how they would settle, but the evidence does not show how the match will unfold.
References
- Polymarket: HB Køge vs. FC Barcelona - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia market is a Polymarket contract on the first team to score in the scheduled match between HB Køge and FC Barcelona, with the listed match time of October 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET [1]. The event carries three separate markets: one asking whether HB Køge will score first, one asking whether FC Barcelona will score first, and one asking whether neither team will score first in the period covered by the rules [1]. Each market is a yes or no contract, and each shows its own snapshot price. A snapshot price is a single observation at one moment. It is not an executable quote and not a verified probability, so it should not be read as the likelihood of an outcome. The rules define the window narrowly. Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. A goal scored in those periods decides the market, and a match with no goals in that window resolves to the "Neither" outcome [1]. Because the rules name the window, a team that scores only after the first 90 minutes, or in extra time, does not affect the result. The rules also set how the outcome is determined. The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within two hours after the event ends, data from Flashscore may be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore data may be used, and if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1]. Settlement is based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, and later revisions to officially declared final scores are not counted [1]. Postponement and cancellation are handled differently. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1]. The rules also state that if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where that outcome applies [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures which single outcome occurs first in the opening 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time: a goal by HB Køge, a goal by FC Barcelona, or no goal by either team. Its rules separate that window from extra time and shoot-outs, which means the result depends only on the regulation period [1]. The three contracts cover the full set of outcomes named in the rules, so each one can be read against the others. Anyone using the prices should keep in mind that they reflect a single observation and that the contract settles only on the official result, with the data sources and fallback rules described above [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What window decides the market?
Only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if neither team scores in that window?
The market for "Neither" resolves to yes, since the rules say it resolves to "Neither" if neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1].
What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed. If it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves to "Neither" [1].
Which data sources settle the market?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within two hours after the event concludes, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore data, and finally a consensus of credible reporting [1].
What happens if no usable data is available?
If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
