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GroupPOLYMARKET

UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC - Exact Score

UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC - Exact Score
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AI Analysis

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Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

In the upcoming Copa del Rey game between UD Poblense and AD Ceuta FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Polymarket event covers the UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC exact score market. The contract text says it "will resolve based on the final score of the UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET" [1]. It counts only "the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded" [1].

The rules also set several special cases. If the score is not one of the listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until completion. If it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves to "0-0" [1]. If no acceptable data exists within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, it resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T18:00:00.000Z [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:37:18.615Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The sample includes 12 of 37 markets in this one event. Each included market shows a Yes price of 0.375 and a No price of 0.625 [1]. Because every included price is identical, this sample does not reveal any ranking among the score outcomes. Omitted markets are not implied to be cheaper or more expensive than these.

Because all markets come from one provider event, there is no cross-platform comparison here. Differences in wording or close times between separate contracts would need separate evidence before comparison.

What remains uncertain

The supplied evidence does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants, and volume should not be read as either. It also does not explain why prices are at these levels.

The rules name a resolution data hierarchy: official statistics first, then Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting [1]. The evidence does not say whether any of these sources will be available. Score revisions made after resolution are excluded [1]. The evidence does not include the match outcome, postponement status, or any update after the 03:00 UTC observation.

References

  1. Polymarket: UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC - Exact Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

Overview

This market is one of several exact score contracts tied to a scheduled Copa del Rey match between UD Poblense and AD Ceuta FC, listed for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET [1]. Each contract asks whether the final score will match a specific scoreline, such as 0-0, 2-1, or a higher-scoring result, and each has Yes and No outcomes. The contract is designed to settle on one score, so the outcomes are mutually exclusive for a given match. A catch-all option, "Any Other Score," applies when the actual final score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes [1]. The resolution rules define what counts as the final score. Only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time is used. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the match is completed. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the rules specify that the market resolves to 0-0 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event ends, the rules allow data from Flashscore. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore may be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The rules also state that revisions to officially declared final scores made after the market resolves are not counted [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where that outcome applies [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures the official final score of a single match, limited to regulation time plus stoppage time. Because it is an exact score market, it is narrower than a general win, draw, or loss contract. Each scoreline is its own contract, so traders are pricing a specific result rather than a team outcome [1]. The resolution rules matter because they define edge cases that can change how a position settles, including postponements, cancellations, and missing data [1]. Any price shown on a market reflects a snapshot at the time it was observed and is not an executable quote or a verified probability.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does an exact score contract in this event measure?

It measures whether the final score of the UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC match, counted after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, matches the specific scoreline in the contract. If the score is not one of the listed outcomes, it resolves to "Any Other Score" [1].

Are extra time and penalty shoot-outs included?

No. The rules exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs from the outcome [1].

What happens if the match is postponed?

The market remains open until the match is completed [1].

What happens if the match is canceled?

If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to 0-0 [1].

Which data sources determine the result?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1].

Does a later correction to the final score change the outcome?

No. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining the outcome [1].

What happens if no acceptable data is available?

If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].

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Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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