
Komar Vadym vs. Balabei Serhii
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Komar Vadym vs. Balabei Serhii

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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume ยท provider units
5
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Komar Vadym and Balabei Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for November 5 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Komar Vadym' if Komar Vadym wins against Balabei Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Balabei Serhii' if Balabei Serhii wins against Komar Vadym. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T00:00:05.823Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event covers a table tennis match between Komar Vadym and Balabei Serhii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men, described as "scheduled for November 3 at 9:00AM ET" [1]. The five saved Polymarket markets are a match winner contract, two total games contracts (Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5), and two game handicap contracts at 1.5 games [1].
The winner contract resolves to the player who wins the match. The source says a canceled match, a tie, or a delay beyond 7 days without a winner resolves to 50-50, and a walkover also resolves to 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Resolution relies first on official event statistics. If these are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. Every market lists an end time of 2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close, not the match time or a result.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-11-03T00:00:05.823Z and retrieved at 2026-11-03T02:29:57.591Z [1]. They are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The match winner contract shows Komar Vadym at 0.5 and Balabei Serhii at 0.5 [1]. Both game handicap contracts also show 0.5 for each side. The two total games contracts show Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1].
These contracts measure different things, so their prices should not be read as one combined view. Equal prices on the winner and handicap markets do not show that the players are equal in every respect. The small gap between Over and Under does not signal a strong view on total games. The evidence includes no volume or trader data, so it cannot show liquidity or how many people hold each position.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers all 5 saved markets for this event, and the record is not partial [1]. The source also notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence contains no match result, player statistics, or reporting, so the outcome cannot be determined from these records. The snapshot also does not show prices after its observation time.
References
- Polymarket: Komar Vadym vs. Balabei Serhii. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T00:00:05.823Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 3, 2026 UTCOverview
This Polymarket event covers one table tennis match between Komar Vadym and Balabei Serhii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men competition, scheduled for November 3 at 9:00AM ET [1]. The main contract resolves to 'Komar Vadym' if Komar Vadym wins and to 'Balabei Serhii' if Balabei Serhii wins [1]. The event lists an end time of 2026-11-10T14:00:00.000Z [1]. That end time is a listed date in the contract information, not a report that anything has happened on that date. The rules also set outcomes for unusual situations. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The saved event includes five related markets: two total games lines at 3.5 and 4.5, a match winner market, and two game handicap markets at plus or minus 1.5 games [1]. Each total games line uses Over and Under outcomes, while the winner and handicap markets name the players [1]. Prices shown on the page are snapshots at a point in time. They are not executable quotes, and they do not verify the likelihood of any outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the result of a single scheduled table tennis match between two named players [1]. The main winner market settles on the player who wins the match under the rules listed for the event [1]. The total games and game handicap markets are tied to the same match, so they depend on how many games are played and how the games are scored, rather than only on who wins [1]. Because the rules define walkovers, cancellations, delays, and early finishes separately, the contract's resolution depends on how the match is completed as well as on the final winner [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-03 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is canceled or ends in a tie?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player withdraws before the match starts?
In a walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires after the match has begun?
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source is used to settle the market?
The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.