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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Name: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-05-14T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$25.40

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Vol

$25.40

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $25.40

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.40

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Poly	74%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Poly	74%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Poly	61%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	49%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	49%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	49%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	49%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	49%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	49%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	49%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	8%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$25.40

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled dat

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 14, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI.

This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled dat

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET:

This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1.

If the match is canceled (not played at"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Karmine Corp: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Karmine Corp: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Karmine Corp: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Karmine Corp: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Karmine Corp: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Karmine Corp: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Movistar KOI: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Volume$25.40

Markets25

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POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1. In League of Legends, each team has three inhibitors (one in each lane), located behind the inner turrets. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI each destroy at least one en

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

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48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/99ovQ0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs"></iframe>

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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Markets (25)

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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