First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
PM $585.67
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First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?
PM $585.67
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 97.8% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes97.8%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
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Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract is a Polymarket market titled "First Round Outright Winner in the GA-13 House Election?" It is listed in the politics category and concerns the 2026 midterm U.S. House election in Georgia's 13th district. The contract rules state that the first round of this election will be held on November 3, 2026 [1]. The market is about a single question: whether any candidate wins the race outright in that first round. Under the rules, a candidate wins outright by receiving more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round [1]. The market resolves "Yes" if any candidate does so, and "No" otherwise [1]. The rules also set a fallback. If the first-round results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No" [1]. This means the contract can settle on a date well after the election itself, depending on when results become definitive. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting. If that reporting is ambiguous, the rules say the market resolves based solely on official results as certified by the state electoral authority responsible for the GA-13 House election [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2026-11-04T04:59:00Z [1]. That listed end time is a provider field for the contract and is separate from the date on which results are reported or the date on which the market resolves. The supplied market data is a single saved snapshot from the provider event. It shows a "Yes" price of 0.626 and a "No" price of 0.374 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The data does not show trading volume, liquidity or the number of participants, so no conclusions about market depth can be drawn from it.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow procedural outcome: whether the first round of the GA-13 House election produces a winner with more than 50% of valid votes [1]. It does not depend on which candidate wins the general election or on the eventual winner of a runoff, because the rules define resolution only by the first-round result [1]. Its value therefore reflects how the market prices the chance of a first-round majority in this specific race. Because the rules tie resolution to credible reporting and certified official results, the reliability of the final outcome depends on those sources rather than on any single report [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for the market to resolve Yes?
A candidate must win the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round, meaning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round [1].
What happens if no candidate wins outright in the first round?
The market resolves "No" under the rules, since it resolves "Yes" only if a candidate wins outright in the first round [1].
What is the resolution deadline?
If the first-round results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No" [1].
How is the outcome determined if reports conflict?
The market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, it resolves based solely on official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the GA-13 House election [1].
Does the listed end time mean the election results will be known then?
Not necessarily. The provider lists an end time of 2026-11-04T04:59:00Z [1], but the rules allow resolution to depend on when first-round results are known definitively, with a fallback deadline of March 31, 2027 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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