Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single short-window contract on the Solana price. It resolves to "Up" if "the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1] The named window is 1:45PM to 2:00PM ET. The listed end time is 2026-10-15T18:00:00.000Z [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1]
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:54:37.797Z [1]. It shows two quoted prices: Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one platform at one observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the snapshot does not show volume or order-book depth.
The observation time came before the listed end time, and the retrieval time came after it. The record reports the provider status as "active" [1], but the evidence does not show a final resolution. Readers should check the provider page for the current status and outcome.
The sample covers one market from one platform, Polymarket. The coverage record lists one total market and one included market, with no partial sample flag [1]. Because there is only one contract, no cross-platform comparison is possible here. Contracts on other assets, windows, or platforms with different wording should not be treated as equivalent, even if their prices look different.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and it does not show how many traders hold either side. It also does not confirm the price at the start of the window or the TWAP value over the window. The source states that the providers do not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed, though this market has only two outcomes [1]. Whether the contract resolved to Up or Down cannot be determined from this snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term binary contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET", listed on Polymarket in the Crypto category [1]. The contract asks whether Solana's price, measured as a time-weighted average price (TWAP), over the time range in the title ends up at or above its starting level. According to the rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract's price reference is specific. The rules name the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source, rather than any exchange or other spot market [1]. The source states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream "and not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with Solana prices elsewhere should therefore expect differences in what is measured, because the contract follows only the named data stream. The listed end time in the provider record is 18:00 UTC on October 15, 2026 [1]. That timestamp is a contract rule describing when the measured window closes. It is not a separately announced event or a statement that the contract has settled. The provider record in this entry shows the status as active at the time it was observed [1]. This entry does not establish the final outcome, and it should not be read as a current market view.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Solana's price, as recorded by the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, over a window of about fifteen minutes [1]. Because the comparison is between the average over the window and the price at its beginning, the result depends on the averaging method and the named data stream rather than on a single trade or the last price. The rules specify that only this data stream counts, so the contract is narrower than a general question about where Solana is trading [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether the contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source does the contract use?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does the listed end time mean the market has settled?
No. The listed end time of 18:00 UTC is a contract rule for when the measured window closes [1]. The evidence here does not show a final resolution outcome.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
