Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The snapshot covers one Kalshi event, "CF Cruz Azul vs Club Leon: 1st Half Correct Score," for a Liga MX match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 [1]. Each market asks whether the first-half score will match a specific scoreline. The source rule text states that if the end of the first half is "CF Cruz Azul 3, Club Leon X," the market resolves to Yes [1]. That wording leaves the Club Leon score unspecified, so readers should check the full rule text before relying on the summary. The contract also includes an early close condition: "This market will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].

Timing matters. The provider observed these prices at 06:00:05 UTC on November 1, 2026, and the record was retrieved at 08:14:28 UTC the same day [1]. The prices describe that earlier observation, not live conditions. The market records list an end date of November 4, 2026 at 07:10 UTC, but the source excerpt says the listed end time was "not supplied" [1]. Observation time, retrieval time, listed close time, and actual resolution are separate facts, and the evidence does not establish when the match result will be known.

Reading the snapshot

The record includes 12 of 15 markets from this event, so it is a partial sample [1]. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, so omitted scorelines are not shown and should not be assumed to have lower prices. Rankings should not be compared with other events or platforms.

Among the included markets, the highest Yes prices were 0.22 for a 0-0 first-half draw, 0.21 for a Cruz Azul 1-0 win, and 0.11 for both a 1-1 draw and a Club Leon 1-0 win [1]. The lower-priced entries include Cruz Azul 2-0 at 0.09, Cruz Azul 2-1 at 0.04, and several scorelines at 0.02 or below [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A price difference between two contracts does not by itself show an arbitrage opportunity, because the rules, close times, and execution conditions must be compared.

Volume is not supplied for these markets in the evidence, so the snapshot cannot indicate liquidity or how many traders took part.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price was set at its level. It also does not show the current prices, the match status, or any result. Because the excerpt leaves the listed end time unsupplied and contains an unspecified Club Leon score in its rule wording, the exact settlement conditions need confirmation from the full official rules. Readers comparing this contract with any other should first verify that the wording, scoring period, and close conditions match.

References

1. Kalshi: CF Cruz Azul vs Club Leon: 1st Half Correct Score. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z.