ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied contract is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. Its rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream," not "any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T19:20:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, not evidence of a resolution. The supplied evidence does not show how the market settled.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z and retrieved at 2026-10-25T22:02:40.974Z [1]. At observation, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.5 and the "Down" outcome was also priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include order book depth, spreads, or trade history, so it cannot show whether these prices could be traded at that level.
This sample contains one market from one platform, and the coverage record marks it as complete for the saved event: one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. The sample notice says the providers' saved listings are included, but this does not establish that every real-world outcome is listed [1]. Since the contract is binary, the two prices are the only outcomes shown.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and it provides no volume, liquidity, or trader count. The snapshot also cannot tell a reader the current price, since the data is from October 25, 2026 and the contract closes later. Readers comparing this contract with similar ones should check that the wording, reference price, and listed end time match. Differences in those details can change what a market measures, so different prices across contracts are not evidence of an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar. Its title, "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET", identifies a five-minute window on October 26. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, as generated by Chainlink, over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T19:20:00.000Z [1]. The saved record for this event lists two outcomes, Up and Down, and includes a single market for the event [1]. That record reflects the provider's data at the time it was observed, and it does not show live trading conditions. Its price figures are snapshots rather than executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Why It Matters
The contract measures direction over a narrow interval rather than a fixed price level. Because the threshold is the price at the start of the window, the question is whether the averaged price over the window finishes at or above that starting reference [1]. Using a time-weighted average rather than a single print means the resolution depends on the averaging method specified in the Chainlink data stream [1]. Participants reading the price should therefore focus on the stated resolution source, which is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP stream, and not on other ZCash price feeds [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the 3:15PM to 3:20PM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
What data source resolves the market?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say other sources or spot markets do not govern the outcome [1].
When does the listed end time fall?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T19:20:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed end time in the contract record and is not a statement about when the market will be resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.