BNB Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET
PM $1.96
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BNB Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET
PM $1.96
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $1.96
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers the Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET," a crypto market in the provider's saved records [1]. The contract asks whether the BNB/USDT price will rise or fall over one specific one-hour candle. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair. The provider states that the close and open shown at the top of the relevant "1H" candle on that chart will be used once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. The rules also say the market concerns the price on Binance BNB/USDT, not prices on other exchanges or other trading pairs [1]. A contract can therefore move on a different price feed than a reader might assume from general crypto news, so the Binance chart is the reference that matters for settlement. The provider's saved record lists the event's end time as 2026-10-29T20:00:00.000Z and marks the provider status as active [1]. That end time is a listed field in the contract data. It is the closing time the provider recorded, and it should not be confused with the time the outcome is determined, which depends on when the Binance candle data is finalized as described in the rules [1]. The saved snapshot shows two outcomes, "Up" and "Down," each at a listed price of 0.5 [1]. These values were recorded in the saved provider data at an earlier observation time, so they describe that snapshot only. They are not a live quote, an executable price, or a verified probability of the outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures one narrow question: whether the BNB/USDT price on Binance for a single one-hour candle closes at or above its opening price [1]. Because the comparison is between the open and close of the same candle, the contract does not track a longer trend, a daily high or low, or the price on other exchanges [1]. Readers should read the title's time and the candle rules together, since the contract is defined by the candle that begins at the stated time rather than by a general statement about BNB's direction [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
The market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title [1]. A close equal to the open also counts as Up under the stated rule [1].
Which price source is used for settlement?
The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair [1]. The provider says the close and open shown for the relevant 1H candle on that Binance chart will be used once the candle's data is finalized [1].
Do prices on other exchanges affect the outcome?
No. The provider states that the market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
Do the listed prices show the chance of each outcome?
The saved snapshot lists "Up" and "Down" at 0.5 each [1]. That record is a dated provider observation, so it should not be treated as a current quote or a verified probability [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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