ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET" [1]. According to the source, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:55:00.000Z [1]. That corresponds to 10:55 PM ET on October 19, which matches the title. The end time is the listed close, not a confirmed resolution. The supplied evidence does not show whether the contract has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T03:19:58.993Z [1]. The status was recorded as "active" [1]. These are the times of the saved snapshot, not live conditions at the time you read this.
The saved snapshot lists two outcomes: "Yes" at 0 and "No" at 1 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They do not show how many traders hold either position, and the evidence contains no trade or liquidity data. The saved volume figure, if any, should not be read as liquidity.
The evidence covers one market from one provider event on one platform, Polymarket [1]. The sample is complete for that event, but it contains no comparison with other platforms or other ZCash contracts. Because the wording and listed close time are specific to this window, it should not be treated as equivalent to a contract with a different window or resolution source.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do. It also does not establish whether the TWAP at the window's start was higher or lower than the TWAP during the window, since no price data for either period is supplied. Any comparison with other contracts, platforms, or times would require separate evidence with matching wording and close times. Different prices across contracts are not, by themselves, an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval crypto contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET" [1]. The contract is listed in the crypto category and is offered on Polymarket [1]. Its outcomes are "Yes" and "No" [1]. The contract's rule ties its result to price behaviour over the stated window rather than to a single price at one moment. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rule also specifies that the market concerns the ZEC/USD pair according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream, not according to other sources or spot markets [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:55:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 10:55PM ET window [1]. At the time of the saved provider observation, the contract's status was active [1]. The end time is a contract closing time, not a record of how the market resolved, and the evidence available here does not include a resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the ZEC/USD TWAP over a five minute window, from 10:50PM to 10:55PM ET on October 19, finishes at or above its starting level [1]. Because the rule compares an average over the window with the price at the beginning, the result depends on the stated Chainlink data stream rather than on any other exchange or spot price [1]. Traders reading the contract should therefore focus on the resolution source named in the rules, since the contract text explicitly excludes other sources [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What makes it resolve to Down?
Under the rules, the market resolves to "Down" in any case that does not meet the condition for "Up", meaning the TWAP over the window is lower than the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price data is used for resolution?
The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that the contract is not about other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:55:00Z, which matches the 10:55PM ET end of the window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.