Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

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Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Drew Rasmussen: 1+ at 62%.

Kalshi

Drew Rasmussen: 1+62%
Jacob Misiorowski: 1+62%
Drew Rasmussen: 2+54.5%
Jacob Misiorowski: 2+35%
Jacob Misiorowski: 3+26%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Drew Rasmussen: 1+ earned runs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Drew Rasmussen: 1+ earned runs?	Kalshi	62.0%
Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?	Kalshi	62.0%
Drew Rasmussen: 2+ earned runs?	Kalshi	54.5%
Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?	Kalshi	35.0%
Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?	Kalshi	26.0%
Drew Rasmussen: 3+ earned runs?	Kalshi	25.0%
Drew Rasmussen: 4+ earned runs?	Kalshi	17.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

TB vs MIL (Oct 23) If Drew Rasmussen records X earned runs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Drew Rasmussen is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market. If Drew Rasmussen is a starting pitcher and records at least one batter faced the market will settle based on earned runs recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Drew Rasmussen: 4+ earned runs?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLBERA-26OCT232000TBMIL-TBDRASMUSSEN57-4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbera-26oct232000tbmil
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Drew Rasmussen records 4+ earned runs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
If Drew Rasmussen is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
If Drew Rasmussen is a starting pitcher and records at least one batter faced the market will settle based on earned runs recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Drew Rasmussen: 3+ earned runs?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLBERA-26OCT232000TBMIL-TBDRASMUSSEN57-3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbera-26oct232000tbmil
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 25.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Drew Rasmussen records 3+ earned runs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
If Drew Rasmussen is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
If Drew Rasmussen is a starting pitcher and records at least one batter faced the market will settle based on earned runs recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Drew Rasmussen: 2+ earned runs?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLBERA-26OCT232000TBMIL-TBDRASMUSSEN57-2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbera-26oct232000tbmil
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Drew Rasmussen records 2+ earned runs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
If Drew Rasmussen is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
If Drew Rasmussen is a starting pitcher and records at least one batter faced the market will settle based on earned runs recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Drew Rasmussen: 1+ earned runs?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLBERA-26OCT232000TBMIL-TBDRASMUSSEN57-1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbera-26oct232000tbmil
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 62.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 38.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Drew Rasmussen records 1+ earned runs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Drew Rasmussen is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
If Drew Rasmussen is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
If Drew Rasmussen is a starting pitcher and records at least one batter faced the market will settle based on earned runs recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Jacob Misiorowski: 3+ earned runs?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLBERA-26OCT232000TBMIL-MILJMISIOROWSKI32-3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbera-26oct232000tbmil
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 26.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jacob Misiorowski records 3+ earned runs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
If Jacob Misiorowski is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
If Jacob Misiorowski is a starting pitcher and records at least one batter faced the market will settle based on earned runs recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Jacob Misiorowski: 2+ earned runs?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLBERA-26OCT232000TBMIL-MILJMISIOROWSKI32-2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbera-26oct232000tbmil
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 35.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jacob Misiorowski records 2+ earned runs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
If Jacob Misiorowski is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
If Jacob Misiorowski is a starting pitcher and records at least one batter faced the market will settle based on earned runs recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Jacob Misiorowski: 1+ earned runs?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMLBERA-26OCT232000TBMIL-MILJMISIOROWSKI32-1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmlbera-26oct232000tbmil
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 62.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 38.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jacob Misiorowski records 1+ earned runs in the Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Jacob Misiorowski is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
If Jacob Misiorowski is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appearances will not count towards this market.
If Jacob Misiorowski is a starting pitcher and records at least one batter faced the market will settle based on earned runs recorded.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports