Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The provider event asks about the exact final score of the Derby County FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC match, scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET [1]. Each market in this sample tests one scoreline, such as 0-0, 1-0, or 2-1. The resolution rules count only the result after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded [1]. If the final score is not one of the listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, the 0-0 market resolves to "0-0" [1].

The rules also set a source order: official statistics first, then Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting if needed [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-06T20:00:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is a contract closing time, not a record that the match has been played or resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T21:22:39.165Z [1]. They describe that moment only and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

Twelve of the 37 markets in the saved event are included here. Each of the twelve shows a Yes price of 0.30 and a No price of 0.70 [1]. The sample ranks markets by Yes price and then by volume, so the included twelve were chosen from a tied field. The omitted 25 markets cannot be assessed from this evidence, and nothing here suggests they are priced lower.

The included markets cover different scorelines, so each price answers a separate question. Adding or averaging them would not produce a meaningful probability, and comparisons with other providers or events should not be made without matching wording and close times.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why these prices are set at these levels, how many traders are involved, or how much liquidity sits behind each quote. Volume is not included in this excerpt and would not indicate liquidity or trader count.

Readers should also note that the sample is partial and that the full outcome list, including whether "Any Other Score" appears among the 37 markets, is not shown. Whether the match is played as scheduled, postponed, or canceled is not established by the evidence, and the resolution outcome is unknown.

References

1. Polymarket: Derby County FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC - Exact Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z.