Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?

Name: Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?
End: 2028-06-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$360.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?

Vol

$360.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $360.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $360.00

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?	Poly	48%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$360.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all five of England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland are among the teams that take part in the UEFA Euro 2028 final tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team counts as taking part regardless of the route by which it reaches the final tournament, including qualifying as a group winner, qualifying as a best runner-up, winning a play-off, or taking one of the two places reserved for host nations. If at any po

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 1, 2028 (598 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if all five of England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland are among the teams that take part in the UEFA Euro 2028 final tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A team counts as taking part regardless of the route by which it reaches the final tournament, including qualifying as a group winner, qualifying as a best runner-up, winning a play-off, or taking one of the two places reserved for host nations.

If at any po

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if all five of England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland are among the teams that take part in the UEFA Euro 2028 final tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A team counts as taking part regardless of the route by whi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $360
* **Total Liquidity:** $60
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.99)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 1, 2028): Vol $360
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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