Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

NHL: 40+ Goals Season

Total Volume

$8.51K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

NHL: 40+ Goals Season

Vol

$8.51K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $8.51K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.51K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

40 markets tracked

Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(40)

Market	Platform	Price
Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	70%
Kirill Kaprizov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	56%
Connor McDavid: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	56%
Macklin Celebrini: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	54%
Cole Caufield: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	54%
Leon Draisaitl: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	53%
Auston Matthews: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	51%
Tage Thompson: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	48%
Jason Robertson: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	48%
Kyle Connor: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	45%
Cutter Gauthier: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	43%
Nikita Kucherov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	43%
Alex DeBrincat: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	42%
Dylan Guenther: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	42%
Wyatt Johnston: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	41%
William Nylander: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	40%
Sam Reinhart: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	37%
Jake Guentzel: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	36%
David Pastrnak: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	33%
Adrian Kempe: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	31%
Steven Stamkos: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	29%
Filip Forsberg: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	29%
Brandon Hagel: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	29%
Matt Boldy: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	28%
Martin Necas: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	27%
Pavel Dorofeyev: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	23%
Alex Tuch: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	22%
Dylan Larkin: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	21%
Morgan Geekie: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	20%
Jack Hughes: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	20%
Drake Batherson: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	19%
Nick Schmaltz: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	19%
Mark Scheifele: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	18%
Mikko Rantanen: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	18%
Tim Stutzle: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	17%
Leo Carlsson: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	11%
Mika Zibanejad: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	11%
Ivan Demidov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	11%
Will Smith: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	9%
Connor Bedard: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$8.51K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

40+ goals (2026-27) If X scores at least 40 goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends. This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NHL: 40+ Goals Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 40+ goals (2026-27)

If X scores at least 40 goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends. This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Will Smith scores at least 40 goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Smith: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. William Nylander: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $78
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Wyatt Johnston: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Tage Thompson: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Tim Stutzle: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $520
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Steven Stamkos: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $411
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Sam Reinhart: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Pavel Dorofeyev: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Nick Schmaltz: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $95
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $320
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Nikita Kucherov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $628
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Mika Zibanejad: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $95
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Mark Scheifele: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Mikko Rantanen: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Martin Necas: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Morgan Geekie: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $58
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Macklin Celebrini: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Matt Boldy: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $246
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Leon Draisaitl: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Leo Carlsson: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Kirill Kaprizov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Kyle Connor: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Jason Robertson: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Jack Hughes: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $183
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Jake Guentzel: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Ivan Demidov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Filip Forsberg: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. David Pastrnak: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Dylan Larkin: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Dylan Guenther: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $224
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Drake Batherson: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $366
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Connor McDavid: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Cutter Gauthier: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $164
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Cole Caufield: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Connor Bedard: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Brandon Hagel: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $363
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Alex Tuch: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $210
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Auston Matthews: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $13
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Adrian Kempe: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Alex DeBrincat: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 13, 2027): Vol $255
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

NHL: 40+ Goals Season

Volume$8.51K

Markets40

40 of 40

Sort:

KALSHI

Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 69.5¢No 30.5¢

KALSHISports

Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

If Nathan MacKinnon scores at least 40 goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends.

KALSHI

Kirill Kaprizov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHISports

Kirill Kaprizov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

If Kirill Kaprizov scores at least 40 goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends.

KALSHI

Connor McDavid: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

KALSHISports

Connor McDavid: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

If Connor McDavid scores at least 40 goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends.

KALSHI

Macklin Celebrini: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHISports

Macklin Celebrini: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

If Macklin Celebrini scores at least 40 goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends.

KALSHI

Cole Caufield: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHISports

Cole Caufield: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

If Cole Caufield scores at least 40 goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the player reaches the goal threshold or the NHL regular season ends.

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Average Yes Price

32¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/A7FauS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NHL: 40+ Goals Season"></iframe>

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NHL: 40+ Goals Season

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Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

NHL: 40+ Goals Season

Markets (40)

Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Kirill Kaprizov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Kirill Kaprizov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Connor McDavid: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Connor McDavid: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Macklin Celebrini: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Macklin Celebrini: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Cole Caufield: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Cole Caufield: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

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Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NHL: 40+ Goals Season

Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Nathan MacKinnon: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Kirill Kaprizov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Kirill Kaprizov: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Connor McDavid: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Connor McDavid: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Macklin Celebrini: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Macklin Celebrini: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Cole Caufield: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

Cole Caufield: 40+ goals in 2026-27 NHL regular season?

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