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GroupPOLYMARKET

Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?

Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
Vol

PM $31.6K

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 3.1% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes3.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $31.6K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single trading card sells for more than $16,492,000 USD in a public auction completed on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying sale is the sale of a single trading card, including but not limited to sports cards, Pokémon and other trading card game cards, and non-sport trading cards at a public auction conducted by Goldin or Heritage Auctions, for a total price strictly greater than $16,492,000 USD. The total price including buyer's premium and fees counts, consistent with the $16,492,000 benchmark set by the sale of Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator card at Goldin in February 2026. Private sales, fixed-price sales, and sales through any other venue or auction house do not count. Only completed auction sales count. Listings, asking prices, unmet reserves, withdrawn lots, and unverified sales do not count. Sales of multi-card lots, sealed products, or bundles do not count; the qualifying price must be attributable to a single card (associated accessories or memorabilia included with the card, as in the benchmark sale, do not disqualify it). If a qualifying sale is voided, rescinded, or determined to be fraudulent or non-bona fide (including non-payment by the winning bidder) prior to resolution, it will not count. Sales denominated in other currencies will be converted to USD at the exchange rate on the date of sale. If at least one qualifying sale occurs within the window, this market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as the sale is confirmed by the resolution sources. If no qualifying sale occurs by the deadline, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements and auction results from Goldin (https://goldin.co) and Heritage Auctions (https://www.ha.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiCulture
Broadway total attendance · week ending Nov 1, 2026

Broadway total attendance · week ending Nov 1, 2026

K 64.4K contracts
Broadway attendance above 220,000?Yes 98.5%
Broadway attendance above 230,000?Yes 94.5%
Broadway attendance above 240,000?Yes 93.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Grammys 2027: Record of the Year Winner

Grammys 2027: Record of the Year Winner

PM $25.4K
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 37%
Will Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 23.5%
Will The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 10.4%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketCulture
What Pokemon cards will Logan Paul pull?

What Pokemon cards will Logan Paul pull?

PM $11.6K
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Gengar?Yes 44%
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Snorlax?Yes 44%
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?Yes 42%
+1 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Will Garth Brooks' catalog sell for at least $1.5B this year?

Will Garth Brooks' catalog sell for at least $1.5B this year?

K 2.7K contracts
Will the sale price of any portion of Garth Brooks' music catalog sell for at least $1500000000 in 2026?Yes 3.5%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiCulture
Ed Sheeran Loop Tour · Number of Dates Cancelled

Ed Sheeran Loop Tour · Number of Dates Cancelled

K 110.0K contracts
Will at least 3 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 25%
Will at least 4 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 18.5%
Will at least 5 dates from Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 be cancelled?Yes 8.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Dec 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

PM $59.0K
Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 87.5%
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 84.5%
Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes 83.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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