
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
PM $31.6K
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1
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?

PM $31.6K
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 3.1% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes3.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $31.6K
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single trading card sells for more than $16,492,000 USD in a public auction completed on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying sale is the sale of a single trading card, including but not limited to sports cards, Pokémon and other trading card game cards, and non-sport trading cards at a public auction conducted by Goldin or Heritage Auctions, for a total price strictly greater than $16,492,000 USD. The total price including buyer's premium and fees counts, consistent with the $16,492,000 benchmark set by the sale of Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator card at Goldin in February 2026. Private sales, fixed-price sales, and sales through any other venue or auction house do not count. Only completed auction sales count. Listings, asking prices, unmet reserves, withdrawn lots, and unverified sales do not count. Sales of multi-card lots, sealed products, or bundles do not count; the qualifying price must be attributable to a single card (associated accessories or memorabilia included with the card, as in the benchmark sale, do not disqualify it). If a qualifying sale is voided, rescinded, or determined to be fraudulent or non-bona fide (including non-payment by the winning bidder) prior to resolution, it will not count. Sales denominated in other currencies will be converted to USD at the exchange rate on the date of sale. If at least one qualifying sale occurs within the window, this market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as the sale is confirmed by the resolution sources. If no qualifying sale occurs by the deadline, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements and auction results from Goldin (https://goldin.co) and Heritage Auctions (https://www.ha.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
