BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The rules name the resolution source as the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink and state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:40:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time in the rules, not evidence of when the market resolved. The saved evidence contains no resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T03:19:59.340Z [1]. At observation, the provider reported the market as active [1]. Because the observation predates the 10:35PM to 10:40PM ET window in the title, the saved prices describe the market before that window began. They do not describe conditions during the window.
The saved quotes are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show how deep the market was or how many participants held each view.
The sample covers one Polymarket event with one market. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included, and no partial sample [1]. The saved event contains only this one contract, and the provider's sample warning notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Nothing in the evidence supports comparing this contract with other platforms or other time windows, since different rules, asset definitions, or closing times would make such a comparison misleading.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the Up and Down prices sit where they do. It also does not show the outcome after the listed end time, or whether the rules were applied as written. A reader comparing this contract with a similarly titled market should check the resolution source, the exact time window, and the listed close time first, since small differences in these terms change what each contract pays for.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers the contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET", a crypto market listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB over a specific five-minute window will finish above or below its starting level. The source states that the market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is specific. The source says the market concerns the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader reading this contract therefore needs to track the Chainlink data stream named in the rules, not the price on an exchange or aggregator. The contract names the stream at data.chain.link, and the rules point to it as the resolution source [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:40:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time as recorded by the provider. It is not evidence of when the outcome was determined or published, and the supplied evidence does not include a resolved result. The observation time for this record is 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T03:19:59Z. At those times, the provider listed the contract's status as active [1]. Those are historical snapshot times, not a live status check.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a short-window directional question about BNB priced in USD. Under the stated rules, the question is not whether BNB ends the window higher on a particular exchange, but whether the Chainlink TWAP for the window is at or above the price at the window's start [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average across the window, a single price at the end of the window does not by itself decide the result under the wording in the source [1]. The contract's rules are the controlling description of what is measured.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Up outcome require?
According to the resolution rules, the market resolves to Up if the Chainlink TWAP of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price feed decides this contract?
The rules name the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and state that other sources or spot markets are not used for this market [1].
When does this contract close?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-20T02:40:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed closing time, and the supplied evidence does not show a final resolution.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.