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Events
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Skachenko Serhii vs. Naida Oleksandr

Skachenko Serhii vs. Naida Oleksandr
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AI Analysis

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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Skachenko Serhii and Naida Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 28 at 12:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Skachenko Serhii' if Skachenko Serhii wins against Naida Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Naida Oleksandr' if Naida Oleksandr wins against Skachenko Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T00:00:05.984Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The evidence covers one Polymarket event, "Skachenko Serhii vs. Naida Oleksandr," a table tennis match in Setka Cup Ukraine Men. The event text says the match was "scheduled for October 20 at 7:35PM ET" [1]. The main winner market resolves to the named player who wins the match. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, it resolves 50-50. A walkover also resolves 50-50 [1].

The contracts differ in wording. A retirement, default, or disqualification after the match begins resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the event's official statistics. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T23:35:00.000Z for all five markets [1].

Reading the snapshot

The archived snapshot was observed at 2026-10-21T00:00:05.984Z and retrieved at 2026-10-21T11:49:54.919Z. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not live quotes and are not verified probabilities.

The five included markets are the match winner, two total games lines (Over/Under 3.5 and 4.5), and two game handicap lines. For the winner market, Skachenko Serhii is quoted at 0.9995 and Naida Oleksandr at 0.0005 [1]. For Over/Under 3.5 games, Over is 0.995 and Under is 0.005 [1]. For Over/Under 4.5 games, Over is 0.005 and Under is 0.995 [1].

These lines are separate contracts with different conditions. Their prices should not be combined or compared as if they answered the same question. The handicap contracts also carry their own wording, so each should be read on its own terms [1].

Because the observation time (00:00 UTC on October 21) falls after the scheduled start time stated in the contract text, the snapshot does not show whether the match was played or what its result was. The evidence contains no result.

What remains uncertain

The sample is complete for this one provider event: all five saved markets are included, and the coverage record shows no partial sample [1]. It is still a single event, not a full picture of every possible outcome. The evidence does not establish that the provider lists every real-world outcome.

The evidence also does not show trading volume, number of participants, or the reasons for any price. A price near 0.9995 reflects only what was quoted at observation time. Differences between this market and any similar contract on another platform should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without checking the rules and close times. Any future resolution depends on the official statistics or the fallback consensus rule described above.

References

  1. Polymarket: Skachenko Serhii vs. Naida Oleksandr. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T00:00:05.984Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract on a men's table tennis match between Skachenko Serhii and Naida Oleksandr in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 20 at 7:35PM ET [1]. The contract asks which player wins. It resolves to the winner of the match, and the saved rules set out separate outcomes for several unusual situations [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined [1]. If the match starts but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-27T23:35:00.000Z for the contract [1]. The saved event includes five markets. The main winner market priced Skachenko Serhii at 0.9995 and Naida Oleksandr at 0.0005 in the provider snapshot. Other markets in the same event cover total games over or under 3.5 and 4.5, and two game handicap lines [1]. These prices are snapshots from the provider observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.

Why It Matters

The contract measures which of the two named players wins the scheduled match. Its rules also define how the market settles when the match is canceled, tied, delayed beyond seven days without a winner, ends in a walkover, or finishes early because of a retirement, default, or disqualification [1]. Because the resolution depends on official event statistics, and on credible reporting if those statistics are not published within two hours of the event ending, the contract's outcome depends on how the event records the result [1]. The other markets in the saved event relate to the number of games played and game handicaps, and their prices show how the provider priced those lines at the snapshot time [1].

Snapshot context

The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if the match is not played?

If the match is canceled and not played at all, the market resolves to 50-50. The same applies if the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, or if a walkover occurs [1].

What happens if one player retires during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

Which source determines the winner?

The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].

Do the prices show the chance that each player wins?

The prices are snapshots from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In the saved snapshot, Skachenko Serhii was priced at 0.9995 and Naida Oleksandr at 0.0005 [1].

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Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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