Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
60
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT
If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 19, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 19, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartContract price history
60 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(60)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
89.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
88.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
87.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
84.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
83.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
81.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
80.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
78.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
74.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
74.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
72.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
70.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
68.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
60.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
60.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
57.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
55.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
54.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
53.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
46.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
40.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
40.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
40.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
39.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
38.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
36.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
27.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
25.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
24.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
22.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7789.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
21.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
21.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7839.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
20.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
20.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7844.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
20.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
20.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7854.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
19.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7824.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
19.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
17.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
17.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7804.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
17.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
17.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7869.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
16.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7819.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
16.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
15.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
15.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
15.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7849.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
15.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
15.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7834.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
14.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7829.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
14.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7799.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
13.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
12.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
12.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7809.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
11.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
11.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
9.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7814.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
6.5%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7864.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
5.0%
Will the S&P 500 be above 7859.9999 on Oct 19, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
Kalshi
5.0%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.