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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Name: Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
End: 2026-04-18T16:45:00.000Z

Total Volume

$671.45K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Vol

$671.45K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $671.45K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $671.45K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$671.45K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and South America Rejects in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against South America Rejects. This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and South America Rejects in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against South America Rejects.

This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win the match against Aurora.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Round 1 match between Aurora and South America Rejects in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 6:45AM ET:

This market is about the total kills in Game 2.

This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 31 or more. Otherwise, it will "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports