Name: Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
End: 2026-04-18T16:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | PredictPedia

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34 markets tracked

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Single-Platform Markets(34)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Poly	84%
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner	Poly	74%
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Poly	74%
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)	Poly	57%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	52%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	49%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	49%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	49%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	37%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	32%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	32%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	32%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	30%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	30%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	30%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	16%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	16%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (0 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and South America Rejects in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against South America Rejects.

This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win the match against Aurora.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and South America Rejects in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against South America Rejects.

This market will resolve to "South Am"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $164.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $14.8K
  DATA: [Aurora: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [South America Rejects: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $803
  DATA: [Aurora: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [South America Rejects: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $669
  DATA: [Aurora: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [South America Rejects: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Aurora: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [South America Rejects: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Aurora: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [South America Rejects: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Aurora: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [South America Rejects: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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44¢

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Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Events (1)

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Markets (34)

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

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Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

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