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Aaron Boone: Out by Date

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Aaron Boone: Out by Date

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

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max 0.0%

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4 markets tracked

Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?	Kalshi	32%
Will Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?	Kalshi	27%
Will Aaron Boone be out before Sep 1, 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will Aaron Boone be out before Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

32%

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About This Event

Aaron Boone If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aaron Boone: Out by Date
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Aaron Boone

If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before X Y Z then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Mar 24, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Aaron Boone be out before Sep 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Aaron Boone be out before Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Aaron Boone: Out by Date

Volume$0.00

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?

If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Mar 24, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Aaron Boone be out before Sep 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Aaron Boone be out before Sep 1, 2026?

If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will Aaron Boone be out before Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.0¢No 99.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will Aaron Boone be out before Jul 10, 2026?

If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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16¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/AegyXj" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Aaron Boone: Out by Date"></iframe>

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Aaron Boone: Out by Date

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Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Aaron Boone: Out by Date

Markets (4)

Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Sep 1, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Sep 1, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Jul 10, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Jul 10, 2026?

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Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Aaron Boone: Out by Date

Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Nov 15, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Mar 24, 2027?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Sep 1, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Sep 1, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Jul 10, 2026?

Will Aaron Boone be out before Jul 10, 2026?

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