Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: Spread
K 2.2K contracts
1
4
Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: Spread
K 2.2K contracts
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 2.2K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
MLA vs TEP (Oct 17) If Teplice wins by more than X goals in the Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice professional Czech First League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event concerns the Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice professional Czech First League soccer game, originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 [1]. According to the rules excerpt, the market resolves to Yes if Teplice wins "by more than X goals" after "90 minutes plus stoppage time," and the rules state that the calculation "does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. The sample contains four separate contracts with different thresholds: Mlada Boleslav by more than 1.5 goals, Mlada Boleslav by more than 2.5 goals, Teplice by more than 1.5 goals, and Teplice by more than 2.5 goals [1]. The provider lists the event as active and says it "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T09:48:55.494Z [1]. These are saved snapshots, not live or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The recorded Yes prices are 0.245 for Mlada Boleslav by more than 1.5 goals, 0.095 for Mlada Boleslav by more than 2.5 goals, 0.115 for Teplice by more than 1.5 goals, and 0.13 for Teplice by more than 2.5 goals [1]. Because each contract uses a different threshold, these prices describe separate questions. They should not be summed, averaged, or treated as a complete margin distribution, and a gap between prices is not by itself an arbitrage opportunity.
The market data lists the same end date, 2026-10-19T13:00:00.000Z, for all four contracts [1]. The excerpt separately states "Listed end time: not supplied," so this listed date is the only close timing in the evidence. It should not be confused with the game date or with an actual resolution time.
The sample includes all four saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The sample warning still applies: it "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. An unlisted outcome should not be assumed to have a lower price.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include a match result, the cause of any price movement, trading volume, or the number of participants. Only one platform is supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The snapshot shows prices only at the observation time above, not at the time you read this. Check the provider for current status and prices before relying on them.
References
- Kalshi: Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This article covers a Kalshi event titled "Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: Spread," tied to a professional Czech First League soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The event does not ask which team wins. Instead, each contract asks whether one team wins by more than a stated number of goals [1]. According to the provider's contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named team wins by more than the threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not counted [1]. The provider also states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or otherwise officially connected with the governing league [1]. The event will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved event contains four markets: Mlada Boleslav winning by more than 1.5 goals, Mlada Boleslav winning by more than 2.5 goals, Teplice winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Teplice winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market is a separate Yes or No contract. In plain terms, a threshold of 1.5 goals means the winning margin must be at least two goals, and a threshold of 2.5 goals means at least three goals. The provider excerpt describes the rule using a generic threshold labeled X, so the specific thresholds come from the individual market titles. The provider excerpt lists the event status as active and says no listed end time was supplied [1]. The saved markets carry an end date of October 19, 2026 at 13:00 UTC. That field belongs to the contract record and should not be read as an announced match time or as the moment the market resolves. Resolution depends on the match result and the winner being declared under the rules above. All four saved markets are included in the sample for this event, and the sample is not partial. That describes the saved provider event only. It does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome for this match.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the margin of victory in one specific match rather than the match winner. Under the rules, only the regulation result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts, so extra time and penalty shootouts do not change the outcome [1]. This makes the contract sensitive to how many goals separate the teams at the end of regulation. A market titled around Mlada Boleslav or Teplice winning by more than a set number of goals resolves Yes only if that margin is reached and the rule conditions are met [1]. Because the provider describes the market as closing after a winner is declared, the contract ends once the result is settled under those rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does this contract depend on which team wins the match?
Only in part. Each market names one team and a goal threshold, and it resolves Yes only if that team wins by more than the threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. A team winning by a smaller margin, or the match ending level, would not satisfy that market's condition under the stated rule [1].
Are extra time and penalties included?
No. The provider states that the rule does not include extra time or penalties [1].
Is Kalshi connected to the Czech First League?
The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
When does the market close?
The provider says the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The provider excerpt also says no listed end time was supplied [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
